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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ingredion Inc (INGR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 16.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $6.18B mid-cap
Summary

Ingredion Inc (INGR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ingredion Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ingredion Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.18B.

For INGR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, INGR included.

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Price

INGR price chart and AI forecast

INGR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How INGR ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ingredion Inc (INGR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Grain Mill Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.18B – –
P/E Ratio 10.66x – –
P/B Ratio 1.37x – –
Dividend Yield 3.40% – –
EPS $9.19 – –
Book Value/Share $71.74 – –
Revenue/Share $114.41 – –
FCF/Share $5.63 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
ROE 13.1% – –
ROA 7.3% – –
ROIC 12.6% – –
Gross Margin 23.7% – –
Operating Margin 11.9% – –
Net Margin 8.2% – –
EBT Margin 11.3% – –
Tax Rate 26.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.80x – –
Quick Ratio 1.92x – –
D/E Ratio 0.77x 0.84x 4/5
Financial Leverage 1.78x 1.85x 4/5
Interest Coverage 6.0x 6.0x 3/5
Working Capital $2.26B – –

Cash Flow

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $805M $805M 3/5
Free Cash Flow $355M – –
Capital Spending -$450M – –
OCF Growth YoY -31.6% – –
FCF Growth YoY -55.8% – –
FCF/Sales 4.9% – –
CapEx/Sales 6.2% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.89x – –
Receivables Turnover 5.2x – –
Inventory Turnover 5.0x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.9x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 70 days – –
Days Inventory 74 days – –
Payables Period 43 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 100 days – –

Income Statement

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $7.21B – –
Operating Income $860M $95M 1/5
Net Income $592M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $5.50B $5.50B 3/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricINGRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.33 – –
Payout Ratio 36.2% – –
Shares Outstanding 63M – –
Net Income Growth -12.4% – –
EPS Growth -10.3% -10.3% 3/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$3.52B43.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$948M11.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$1.39B17.2% of assets
Inventory$1.11B13.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.50B43.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$608M7.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

INGR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Grain Mill Products

Ingredion Inc (INGR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ingredion Inc (Grain Mill Products): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
INGR Ingredion Inc ▼ $6.18B 10.7x 1.4x
GIS General Mills Inc ▼ $17.71B – 2.4x
POST Post Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.45B 14.4x 1.0x
FRPT Freshpet, Inc. ▼ $3.20B 24.7x 2.6x
TNBI Tanke Biosciences Corp ▶ N/A – –

Where INGR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Grain Mill Products
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News

Ingredion Inc (INGR) stock news

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FAQ

Ingredion Inc (INGR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ingredion Inc (INGR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ingredion Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ingredion Inc stock predictions?

For INGR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ingredion Inc forecasts updated?

Ingredion Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ingredion Inc's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, INGR included, share the SEC industry code Grain Mill Products. The largest are: General Mills Inc (GIS), Post Holdings, Inc. (POST), Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT), Tanke Biosciences Corp (TNBI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.