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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 51.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.64B mid-cap · #5 of 18 peers
Summary

Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Iridium Communications Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Iridium Communications Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.64B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 18 Communications Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 19.7% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

For IRDM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 51.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 51.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, IRDM included.

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Price

IRDM price chart and AI forecast

IRDM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How IRDM ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Communications Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.64B $319M 5/18
P/E Ratio 46.06x – –
P/B Ratio 9.81x 2.43x 2/13
Dividend Yield 1.40% – –
EPS $0.95 – –
Book Value/Share $4.46 – –
Revenue/Share $8.34 – –
FCF/Share $2.72 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.7% -7.8% 1/9
ROA 3.6% -3.6% 2/12
ROIC 8.7% 0.6% 3/13
Operating Margin 23.8% 0.2% 3/14
Net Margin 10.6% -4.7% 3/11
EBT Margin 14.2% -4.2% 4/15
Tax Rate 23.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.78x 1.61x 6/20
Quick Ratio 2.31x 1.52x 4/13
D/E Ratio 4.43x 1.87x 4/14
Financial Leverage 5.43x 3.09x 4/13
Working Capital $242M $28M 5/20

Cash Flow

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $395M $3M 3/18
Free Cash Flow $288M -$23M 1/10
Capital Spending -$107M -$98M 6/10
OCF Growth YoY -4.6% 5.6% 6/8
FCF Growth YoY -11.6% – –
FCF/Sales 32.6% -7.4% 1/10
CapEx/Sales 12.1% 14.3% 6/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.34x 0.31x 6/13
Receivables Turnover 8.5x 8.2x 6/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.6x 9/13
Days Sales Outstanding 43 days 45 days 8/13

Income Statement

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $884M $226M 5/14
Operating Income $210M -$2M 1/18
Net Income $93M -$6M 1/13
R&D Expense $22M $29M 7/11
SG&A Expense $190M $168M 6/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIRDMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.61 – –
Payout Ratio 64.2% – –
Shares Outstanding 106M – –
Net Income Growth -17.6% – –
EPS Growth 9.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$377M14.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$184M7.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$105M4.1% of assets
Inventory$63M2.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.09B81.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$124M4.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

IRDM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Communications Services, NEC

Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Iridium Communications Inc. (Communications Services, NEC): 21 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IRDM Iridium Communications Inc. ▼ $4.64B 46.1x 9.8x
ECHO Echostar Corp ▼ $24.72B – 7.0x
ASTS Ast Spacemobile, Inc. ▼ $12.19B – 6.4x
GSAT Globalstar, Inc. ▼ $10.61B – 36.3x
VSAT Viasat Inc ▲ $8.10B – 1.8x
CALX Calix, Inc ▶ $2.30B 70.2x 3.2x
TSAT Telesat Corp ▶ $665M – –
CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. ▲ $413M – –
SPIR Spire Global, Inc. ▶ $350M 5.1x 2.4x
GOGO Gogo Inc. ▲ $289M – 2.4x
NSTR Northstar Earth & Space Enterprises, Inc. ▼ $188M – –
KVHI Kvh Industries Inc \De\ ▲ $107M – 0.8x
BZFD Buzzfeed, Inc. ▲ $83M – 1.6x
ELWT Elauwit Connection, Inc. ▼ $37M – –
FABC Fabric.Ai, Inc. ▼ $15M – 1.4x
IOTR Iothree Ltd ▶ $11M – 2.5x
UCL Ucloudlink Group Inc. ▲ $9M – 0.3x
OBAI Our Bond, Inc. ▼ $4M – –
HMMR Hammer Technology Holdings Corp. ▶ N/A – –
KTEL Konatel, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MAJI Nextel Medical Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where IRDM sits on the market map

Technology · Communications Services, NEC
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News

Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) stock news

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FAQ

Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Iridium Communications Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Iridium Communications Inc. stock predictions?

For IRDM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 51.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 51.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Iridium Communications Inc. forecasts updated?

Iridium Communications Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Iridium Communications Inc.'s industry peers?

21 issuers in our coverage, IRDM included, share the SEC industry code Communications Services, NEC. The largest are: Echostar Corp (ECHO), Ast Spacemobile, Inc. (ASTS), Globalstar, Inc. (GSAT), Viasat Inc (VSAT), Calix, Inc (CALX), Telesat Corp (TSAT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.