Down 18.5% in 4 weeks, here's why Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYA) looks ripe for a turnaround
Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYA) has been on a downward spiral lately with significant selling pressure. After declining 18.5% over ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
39.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$2.66B
mid-cap · #5 of 11 peers
Summary
Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Liberty Global Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Liberty Global Ltd. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.66B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 11 Cable & Other Pay Television Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For LBTYA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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LBTYA price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How LBTYA ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Cable & Other Pay Television Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.66B | 5/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.29x | 8/9 |
| EPS | $-16.06 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $27.04 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $14.32 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.75 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -32.9% | 5/6 |
| ROA | -14.1% | 5/6 |
| ROIC | -0.5% | 6/9 |
| Gross Margin | 67.2% | 3/6 |
| Operating Margin | -1.8% | 6/10 |
| Net Margin | -62.1% | 6/7 |
| EBT Margin | -57.5% | 9/10 |
| Tax Rate | -6.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28x | 5/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.31x | 8/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.33x | 6/9 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.0x | 8/11 |
| Working Capital | $756M | 1/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.27B | 5/11 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$255M | 10/10 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.53B | 7/10 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -16.3% | 7/9 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -137.0% | 9/9 |
| FCF/Sales | -5.2% | 9/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 31.2% | 1/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.23x | 8/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.4x | 4/9 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.9x | 9/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 39 days | 6/9 |
| Payables Period | 101 days | 2/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.88B | 4/10 |
| Operating Income | -$87M | 8/11 |
| Net Income | -$3.04B | 6/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.24B | 2/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.60B | 4/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | LBTYA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 341M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.50B | 16.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.42B | 11.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $521M | 2.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $12.07B | 56.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.30B | 10.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
LBTYA quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Cable & Other Pay Television Services
Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Liberty Global Ltd. (Cable & Other Pay Television Services): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LBTYA Liberty Global Ltd. | ▼ | $2.66B |
| CCZ Comcast Corp | ▼ | $233.15B |
| WBD Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | ▼ | $77.71B |
| CHTR Charter Communications, Inc. /Mo/ | ▲ | $18.01B |
| RCI Rogers Communications Inc | ▼ | $17.27B |
| ADEA Adeia Inc. | ▲ | $2.25B |
| LILA Liberty Latin America Ltd. | ▶ | $1.58B |
| GLIBA Liberty Capital Corp/Nv | ▼ | $818M |
| AMCX Amc Global Media Inc. | ▶ | $419M |
| PAAI Paradium.Ai, Inc. | ▼ | $42M |
| CABO Cable One, Inc. | ▶ | $41M |
| NFTM Buildablock Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where LBTYA sits on the market map
Technology · Cable & Other Pay Television Services
News
Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) stock news
Liberty Global Ltd (LBTYA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Moves and Financial ...
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Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Liberty Global's Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call. This call and the associated webcast are the property of Liberty Global ...
FAQ
Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Liberty Global Ltd. (LBTYA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Liberty Global Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Liberty Global Ltd. stock predictions?
For LBTYA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 39.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Liberty Global Ltd. forecasts updated?
Liberty Global Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Liberty Global Ltd.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, LBTYA included, share the SEC industry code Cable & Other Pay Television Services. The largest are: Comcast Corp (CCZ), Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD), Charter Communications, Inc. /Mo/ (CHTR), Rogers Communications Inc (RCI), Adeia Inc. (ADEA), Liberty Latin America Ltd. (LILA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.