Luckin Coffee Inc. ADR
Luckin Coffee, Inc. engages in providing food and beverage items, and operates coffee retail stores. It has a pioneered a technology-driven retail network to provide coffee and other products of high ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · OTC
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-23.0%
Spearman, 217 dates
Market Cap
$10.67B
large-cap · #2 of 10 peers
Summary
Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, LKNCY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Luckin Coffee Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.67B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 10 Retail-Eating & Drinking Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For LKNCY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -23.0%, measured on 217 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 260 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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LKNCY price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How LKNCY ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2025-12-31
Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating & Drinking Places peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | LKNCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10.67B | 2/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.77x | 4/6 |
| Book Value/Share | $6.97 | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | LKNCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.70x | 2/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.35x | 3/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.84x | 5/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.94x | 4/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 960.0x | 1/10 |
| Working Capital | $847M | 1/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | LKNCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 320M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)
| Total Current Assets | $2.06B | 50.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $328M | 8.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $22M | 0.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $424M | 10.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.88B | 45.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.06B | 25.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
LKNCY quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Luckin Coffee Inc. (Retail-Eating & Drinking Places): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| LKNCY Luckin Coffee Inc. | ▶ | $10.67B |
| SBUX Starbucks Corp | ▶ | $111.17B |
| BROS Dutch Bros Inc. | ▼ | $7.19B |
| SHAK Shake Shack Inc. | ▶ | $3.00B |
| WEN Wendy's Co | ▲ | $1.28B |
| CNNE Cannae Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $688M |
| BRCB Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. | ▶ | $179M |
| EAIQ Eyeonix Aiq, Inc. | ▼ | $33M |
| SDOT Sadot Group Inc. | ▼ | $11M |
| KITL Kisses From Italy Inc. | ▲ | $510K |
Where LKNCY sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Retail-Eating & Drinking Places
News
Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) stock news
Luckin Coffee’s $300 Million Fraud Should Have Killed It. Customers Had Other Plans
After Luckin admitted its fabricated sales, customers flooded the app instead of abandoning it. That demand became the foundation of an unlikely recovery.
Luckin Coffee Inc. Announces Change to Board of Directors
BEIJING, May 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Luckin Coffee Inc. ("Luckin Coffee" or the "Company") (OTC: LKNCY) today announced a change to the Board of Directors (the "Board"). The Board previously ...
FAQ
Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Luckin Coffee Inc. (LKNCY) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, LKNCY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Luckin Coffee Inc. stock predictions?
For LKNCY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -23.0%, measured on 217 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 260 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Luckin Coffee Inc. forecasts updated?
Luckin Coffee Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Luckin Coffee Inc.'s industry peers?
10 issuers in our coverage, LKNCY included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating & Drinking Places. The largest are: Starbucks Corp (SBUX), Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS), Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK), Wendy's Co (WEN), Cannae Holdings, Inc. (CNNE), Black Rock Coffee Bar, Inc. (BRCB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.