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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 14.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $330.27B mega-cap · #2 of 13 peers
Summary

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Lam Research Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Lam Research Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $330.27B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 13 Special Industry Machinery, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 63.9% is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.

For LRCX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

LRCX price chart and AI forecast

LRCX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How LRCX ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-28

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Special Industry Machinery, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $330.27B $1.35B 2/13
P/E Ratio 45.82x 38.09x 5/10
P/B Ratio 26.48x 1.99x 2/13
Dividend Yield 0.38% – –
EPS $5.76 – –
Book Value/Share $9.97 – –
Revenue/Share $18.57 – –
FCF/Share $3.91 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
ROE 63.9% 8.8% 1/12
ROA 33.9% 6.7% 1/13
Gross Margin 19.1% 43.2% 11/14
Operating Margin 33.3% 9.4% 1/14
Net Margin 32.4% 10.7% 2/13
EBT Margin 33.5% 9.1% 1/14
Tax Rate 12.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.89x 0.39x 3/13
Financial Leverage 1.89x 1.36x 3/13
Interest Coverage 16.1x 12.0x 7/14

Cash Flow

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5.86B $24M 2/14
Free Cash Flow $4.89B $9M 1/10
Capital Spending -$966M -$6M 10/10
OCF Growth YoY -5.1% -5.1% 6/11
FCF Growth YoY -11.9% 14.3% 4/6
FCF/Sales 21.1% 9.1% 3/10
CapEx/Sales 4.2% 2.1% 3/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.99x 0.62x 3/11

Income Statement

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $23.23B $614M 1/11
Operating Income $8.20B $11M 2/14
Net Income $7.97B $15M 2/13
R&D Expense $2.38B $68M 2/11
SG&A Expense $1.15B $82M 2/14
Cost of Goods Sold $18.80B $171M 1/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLRCXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.02 – –
Payout Ratio 17.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 1251M – –
Net Income Growth 37.2% 22.1% 1/7
EPS Growth 38.8% 11.1% 2/9

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$11.06B47.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LRCX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Special Industry Machinery, NEC

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lam Research Corp (Special Industry Machinery, NEC): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LRCX Lam Research Corp ▼ $330.27B 45.8x 26.5x
ASML Asml Holding Nv ▲ $632.67B 74.3x 27.5x
ACMR Acm Research, Inc. ▶ $3.70B 24.6x 2.0x
ACLS Axcelis Technologies Inc ▶ $3.35B 30.4x 3.1x
VECO Veeco Instruments Inc ▲ $2.61B 75.0x 2.9x
AZTA Azenta, Inc. ▲ $1.49B – 1.0x
CRCT Cricut, Inc. ▶ $1.35B 15.0x 3.7x
ERII Energy Recovery, Inc. ▼ $339M 20.8x 2.0x
ASYS Amtech Systems Inc ▶ $224M 64.0x 1.9x
SOTK Sono Tek Corp ▲ $97M 61.6x 4.6x
TRT Trio-Tech International ▲ $51M – 1.1x
CVV Cvd Equipment Corp ▶ $27M 2.2x 0.8x
GLGI Greystone Logistics, Inc. ▲ $7M – 0.8x
OCLN Originclear, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where LRCX sits on the market map

Technology · Special Industry Machinery, NEC
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News

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) stock news

On Wednesday, Citi reiterated its Buy rating on Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX) shares, maintaining a price target of $87.00. This ...

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FAQ

Lam Research Corp (LRCX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Lam Research Corp (LRCX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Lam Research Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Lam Research Corp stock predictions?

For LRCX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Lam Research Corp forecasts updated?

Lam Research Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Lam Research Corp's industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, LRCX included, share the SEC industry code Special Industry Machinery, NEC. The largest are: Asml Holding Nv (ASML), Acm Research, Inc. (ACMR), Axcelis Technologies Inc (ACLS), Veeco Instruments Inc (VECO), Azenta, Inc. (AZTA), Cricut, Inc. (CRCT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.