Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Mativ Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Mativ Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $646M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 5 Paper Mills issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MATV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
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MATV price chart and AI forecast
How MATV ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Paper Mills peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $646M | 4/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 6.36x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 1.38x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 3.48% | – |
| EPS | $1.84 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $8.46 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $35.77 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.78 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.6% | – |
| ROA | 4.5% | – |
| ROIC | 4.4% | – |
| Gross Margin | 19.4% | 4/5 |
| Operating Margin | 3.7% | – |
| Net Margin | 4.6% | – |
| EBT Margin | -0.5% | 4/5 |
| Tax Rate | 955.1% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.93x | 3/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.03x | 3/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 3.35x | 2/5 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.35x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 1.6x | – |
| Working Capital | $342M | 3/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $137M | 5/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $98M | 3/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$38M | 2/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -1.4% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 12.2% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 5.0% | 3/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.9% | 5/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.97x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.9x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.8x | 4/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.4x | 2/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 46 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 76 days | 2/5 |
| Payables Period | 50 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 71 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.97B | 4/5 |
| Operating Income | $73M | – |
| Net Income | $92M | – |
| R&D Expense | $20M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $221M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.59B | 4/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MATV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.41 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 22.3% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 55M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $709M | 34.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $97M | 4.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $250M | 12.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $329M | 16.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.56B | 77.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $148M | 7.3% of assets |
MATV quarterly financials and insider trading
Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mativ Holdings, Inc. (Paper Mills): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock news
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Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Mativ Holdings, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Mativ Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For MATV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mativ Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Mativ Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Mativ Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, MATV included, share the SEC industry code Paper Mills. The largest are: International Paper Co /New/ (IP), Suzano S.A. (SUZ), Sylvamo Corp (SLVM), Magnera Corp (MAGN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.