Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Mediaco Holding Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Mediaco Holding Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $90M. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 9 Radio Broadcasting Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 0.22x is the lowest of the 9 peers that report one.
For MDIA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MDIA ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Radio Broadcasting Stations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $90M | 5/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.15x | – |
| EPS | $-0.83 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $0.34 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.66 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.01 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -233.2% | 5/6 |
| ROA | -24.6% | 7/8 |
| ROIC | -22.2% | 8/8 |
| Operating Margin | -18.4% | 9/10 |
| Net Margin | -47.9% | 8/9 |
| EBT Margin | -46.8% | 9/10 |
| Tax Rate | -2.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.22x | 9/9 |
| D/E Ratio | 8.50x | 2/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.50x | 2/7 |
| Interest Coverage | -3.4x | 8/8 |
| Working Capital | -$122M | 7/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $90K | 7/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$560K | 5/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$660K | 1/6 |
| FCF/Sales | -0.4% | 6/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.5% | 5/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.51x | 4/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.6x | 5/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.4x | 4/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 79 days | 2/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $139M | 6/6 |
| Operating Income | -$26M | 8/9 |
| Net Income | -$67M | 6/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MDIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 84M | – |
| EPS Growth | -213.7% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $34M | 12.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2M | 0.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $30M | 11.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $243M | 89.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $112M | 41.1% of assets |
MDIA quarterly financials and insider trading
Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mediaco Holding Inc. (Radio Broadcasting Stations): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MDIA Mediaco Holding Inc. | ▲ | $90M |
| SPOT Spotify Technology S.A. | ▶ | $109.19B |
| TME Tencent Music Entertainment Group | ▼ | $13.48B |
| SIRI Sirius Xm Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $9.09B |
| IHRT Iheartmedia, Inc. | ▲ | $304M |
| TSQ Townsquare Media, Inc. | ▲ | $71M |
| SGA Saga Communications Inc | ▶ | $52M |
| UONE Urban One, Inc. | ▶ | $19M |
| BBGI Beasley Broadcast Group Inc | ▲ | $15M |
| KUBR Kuber Resources Corp | ▼ | N/A |
| TMGI Transglobal Management Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where MDIA sits on the market map
Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) stock news
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Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mediaco Holding Inc. (MDIA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Mediaco Holding Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Mediaco Holding Inc. stock predictions?
For MDIA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mediaco Holding Inc. forecasts updated?
Mediaco Holding Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Mediaco Holding Inc.'s industry peers?
11 issuers in our coverage, MDIA included, share the SEC industry code Radio Broadcasting Stations. The largest are: Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (TME), Sirius Xm Holdings Inc. (SIRI), Iheartmedia, Inc. (IHRT), Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ), Saga Communications Inc (SGA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.