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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 55.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $82.47B large-cap · #1 of 21 peers
Summary

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mondelez International, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mondelez International, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $82.47B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 21 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 6.6% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

For MDLZ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 55.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MDLZ included.

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Price

MDLZ price chart and AI forecast

MDLZ
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MDLZ ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $82.47B $186M 1/21
P/E Ratio 31.64x 17.44x 1/6
P/B Ratio 3.20x 1.81x 5/14
Dividend Yield 3.04% – –
EPS $2.02 – –
Book Value/Share $19.96 – –
Revenue/Share $30.46 – –
FCF/Share $2.00 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
ROE 10.1% -25.3% 1/7
ROA 3.7% -14.9% 2/10
ROIC 7.7% 2.0% 4/13
Gross Margin 28.8% 27.4% 5/17
Operating Margin 9.3% 1.4% 4/16
Net Margin 6.6% -4.1% 1/9
EBT Margin 8.4% -3.2% 3/17
Tax Rate 25.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.54x 1.10x 15/18
Quick Ratio 0.37x 0.63x 13/16
D/E Ratio 1.76x 1.87x 9/16
Financial Leverage 2.76x 2.96x 9/16
Interest Coverage 5.5x -0.5x 3/16
Working Capital -$10.76B $15M 18/18

Cash Flow

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3.89B -$60K 1/19
Free Cash Flow $2.58B $215M 1/9
Capital Spending -$1.31B -$115M 9/9
OCF Growth YoY -16.9% -18.2% 4/10
FCF Growth YoY -22.3% -10.8% 5/6
FCF/Sales 6.5% 6.5% 5/9
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 3.3% 5/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.55x 0.82x 9/10
Receivables Turnover 8.9x 10.9x 6/9
Inventory Turnover 6.9x 6.3x 7/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.7x 8.2x 9/10
Days Sales Outstanding 41 days 34 days 4/9
Days Inventory 53 days 59 days 8/14
Payables Period 127 days 37 days 1/13
Cash Conversion Cycle -33 days 41 days 9/9

Income Statement

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $39.30B $2.35B 1/11
Operating Income $3.68B -$80K 1/17
Net Income $2.61B -$2M 1/10
SG&A Expense $7.38B $281M 1/14
Cost of Goods Sold $28.00B $937M 1/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMDLZIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.94 – –
Payout Ratio 96.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 1290M – –
Net Income Growth -27.6% – –
EPS Growth -24.9% -52.2% 2/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$12.74B17.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.63B2.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$4.40B6.2% of assets
Inventory$4.08B5.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$45.32B63.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$13.76B19.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MDLZ quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Food and Kindred Products

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mondelez International, Inc. (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. ▼ $82.47B 31.6x 3.2x
CAG Conagra Brands Inc. ▼ $6.91B – 1.1x
CPB Campbell's Co ▶ $5.93B 15.2x 1.5x
NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd ▼ $1.67B 5.0x –
FLO Flowers Foods Inc ▼ $1.30B 19.7x 1.0x
BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. ▼ $1.10B 6.9x –
SMPL Simply Good Foods Co ▼ $990M – 0.7x
OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc ▶ $729M – 4.7x
VITL Vital Farms, Inc. ▲ $361M 23.3x 1.3x
OTLY Oatly Group Ab ▶ $355M – –
BGS B&G Foods, Inc. ▲ $186M – 0.5x
BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. ▲ $118M – 2.1x
GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. ▼ $59M – –
SOWG Sow Good Inc. ▼ $42M – –
BOF Branchout Food Inc. ▲ $34M – 7.5x
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. ▲ $29M – 2.7x
BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. ▼ $23M – –
HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc ▶ $21M – 0.1x
STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. ▶ $15M – 3.7x
CHSN Chanson International Holding ▼ $2M – –
TRWD Tradewinds Universal ▼ $660K – 3.6x
NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where MDLZ sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Food and Kindred Products
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News

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock news

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FAQ

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mondelez International, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mondelez International, Inc. stock predictions?

For MDLZ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 55.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mondelez International, Inc. forecasts updated?

Mondelez International, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Mondelez International, Inc.'s industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, MDLZ included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD), Flowers Foods Inc (FLO), Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR), Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.