Mercer International Inc. (MERC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Mercer International Inc. (MERC) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MERC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Mercer International Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $13M.
For MERC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MERC ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mercer International Inc. (MERC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Pulp Mills peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13M | – |
| EPS | $-7.28 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $27.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.30 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -27.7% | – |
| ROIC | -34.5% | – |
| Gross Margin | 2.8% | – |
| Operating Margin | -23.6% | – |
| Net Margin | -27.9% | – |
| EBT Margin | -29.7% | – |
| Tax Rate | 6.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.30x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 0.68x | – |
| Interest Coverage | -1.9x | – |
| Working Capital | $182M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$85M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | -$154M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$70M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -270.4% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -8.3% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.7% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.99x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.0x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.8x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.8x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 61 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 76 days | – |
| Payables Period | 37 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 99 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.86B | – |
| Operating Income | -$438M | – |
| Net Income | -$517M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $114M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.80B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MERC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 67M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $783M | 41.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $79M | 4.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $309M | 16.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $375M | 20.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.97B | |
| Short-term Debt | $416M | 22.3% of assets |
MERC quarterly financials and insider trading
Mercer International Inc. (MERC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mercer International Inc. (Pulp Mills): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Mercer International Inc. (MERC) stock news
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Mercer International Inc. (MERC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mercer International Inc. (MERC) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MERC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Mercer International Inc. stock predictions?
For MERC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mercer International Inc. forecasts updated?
Mercer International Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Mercer International Inc.'s industry peers?
2 issuers in our coverage, MERC included, share the SEC industry code Pulp Mills. The largest are: Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.