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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 17.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.76B mid-cap · #5 of 9 peers
Summary

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mcgrath Rentcorp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mcgrath Rentcorp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.76B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 9 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 1.01x is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.

For MGRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MGRC included.

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Price

MGRC price chart and AI forecast

MGRC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MGRC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.76B $2.76B 5/9
P/E Ratio 18.20x 12.04x 3/7
P/B Ratio 2.22x 2.38x 5/8
Dividend Yield 1.76% – –
EPS $6.21 – –
Book Value/Share $50.99 – –
Revenue/Share $38.19 – –
FCF/Share $8.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.3% 12.6% 5/5
ROA 6.1% – –
Gross Margin 84.0% 38.2% 1/5
Operating Margin 25.5% 8.8% 1/6
Net Margin 16.4% 15.3% 2/5
EBT Margin 22.4% 7.5% 2/7
Tax Rate 26.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.01x 2.62x 8/8
Financial Leverage 2.01x 3.62x 6/6
Interest Coverage 7.5x 4.3x 2/7

Cash Flow

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $252M $333M 5/7
Free Cash Flow $210M – –
Capital Spending -$42M – –
OCF Growth YoY -27.1% 5.3% 5/6
FCF Growth YoY -33.2% – –
FCF/Sales 22.5% – –
CapEx/Sales 4.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.37x 0.56x 5/5
Receivables Turnover 3.9x 6.9x 5/5
Inventory Turnover 9.8x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 94 days 53 days 1/5
Days Inventory 37 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $933M $2.31B 5/6
Operating Income $238M $229M 3/6
Net Income $153M $153M 3/5
SG&A Expense $217M $447M 5/5
Cost of Goods Sold $149M $1.58B 5/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMGRCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.99 – –
Payout Ratio 32.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 24M – –
Net Income Growth -39.5% -1.7% 5/5
EPS Growth -44.5% -24.6% 5/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$4M0.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$240M9.6% of assets
Inventory$15M0.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.26B50.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MGRC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mcgrath Rentcorp (Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MGRC Mcgrath Rentcorp ▼ $2.76B 18.2x 2.2x
URI United Rentals, Inc. ▶ $65.52B 26.3x 7.3x
SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. ▲ $31.15B – 4.2x
AER Aercap Holdings N.V. ▼ $24.31B 4.5x 1.3x
EQPT Equipmentshare.Com Inc ▲ $3.44B – 6.5x
CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. ▶ $2.07B 227.0x 2.5x
PRG Prog Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.23B 8.7x 2.1x
UPBD Upbound Group, Inc. ▶ $954M 12.0x 1.3x
KPLT Katapult Holdings, Inc. ▶ $562M 4.8x –

Where MGRC sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC
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News

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) stock news

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FAQ

Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mcgrath Rentcorp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mcgrath Rentcorp stock predictions?

For MGRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mcgrath Rentcorp forecasts updated?

Mcgrath Rentcorp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Mcgrath Rentcorp's industry peers?

9 issuers in our coverage, MGRC included, share the SEC industry code Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC. The largest are: United Rentals, Inc. (URI), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB), Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER), Equipmentshare.Com Inc (EQPT), Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS), Prog Holdings, Inc. (PRG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.