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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Movado Group Inc (MOV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 55.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $733M small-cap
Summary

Movado Group Inc (MOV) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Movado Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Movado Group Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $733M.

For MOV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 55.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MOV included.

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Price

MOV price chart and AI forecast

MOV
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MOV ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-31

Movado Group Inc (MOV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $733M – –
P/E Ratio 20.92x – –
P/B Ratio 1.45x – –
Dividend Yield 4.39% – –
EPS $1.57 – –
Book Value/Share $22.66 – –
Revenue/Share $30.92 – –
FCF/Share $3.20 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.2% – –
ROA 5.6% – –
ROIC 7.7% – –
Gross Margin 56.1% – –
Operating Margin 6.9% – –
Net Margin 6.0% – –
EBT Margin 7.6% – –
Tax Rate 19.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.26x – –
Quick Ratio 2.67x – –
D/E Ratio 0.47x – –
Financial Leverage 1.47x – –
Interest Coverage 137.8x – –
Working Capital $403M – –

Cash Flow

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $75M – –
Free Cash Flow $71M – –
Capital Spending -$4M – –
OCF Growth YoY 222.7% – –
FCF Growth YoY 332.7% – –
FCF/Sales 10.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.6% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.93x – –
Receivables Turnover 7.3x – –
Inventory Turnover 1.5x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 43.8x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 50 days – –
Days Inventory 237 days – –
Payables Period 43 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 244 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $690M – –
Operating Income $47M – –
Net Income $41M – –
SG&A Expense $340M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $303M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMOVIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.44 – –
Payout Ratio 91.7% – –
Shares Outstanding 22M – –
Net Income Growth 156.1% – –
EPS Growth 101.3% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$527M70.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$212M28.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$94M12.7% of assets
Inventory$196M26.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$236M31.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$88M11.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MOV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts

Movado Group Inc (MOV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Movado Group Inc (Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MOV Movado Group Inc ▼ $733M 20.9x 1.5x
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. ▲ $409M – 4.6x

Where MOV sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts
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News

Movado Group Inc (MOV) stock news

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FAQ

Movado Group Inc (MOV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Movado Group Inc (MOV) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Movado Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Movado Group Inc stock predictions?

For MOV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 55.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Movado Group Inc forecasts updated?

Movado Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Movado Group Inc's industry peers?

2 issuers in our coverage, MOV included, share the SEC industry code Watches, Clocks, Clockwork Operated Devices/Parts. The largest are: Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.