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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 26.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.05B small-cap · #9 of 13 peers
Summary

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, MRTN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Marten Transport Ltd is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.05B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 13 Trucking (No Local) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 2.50x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 0.25x is the lowest of the 13 peers that report one.

For MRTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

MRTN price chart and AI forecast

MRTN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MRTN ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Trucking (No Local) peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.05B $2.91B 9/13
P/E Ratio 67.84x 47.64x 4/9
P/B Ratio 1.37x 1.81x 10/13
Dividend Yield 1.86% 1.14% 3/11
EPS $0.19 – –
Book Value/Share $9.38 – –
Revenue/Share $10.50 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
ROE 1.6% 1.0% 6/13
ROA 1.3% 0.5% 6/13
ROIC 1.8% 1.7% 6/13
Operating Margin 1.9% 1.9% 7/13
Net Margin 1.5% 0.5% 6/13
EBT Margin 2.1% 0.7% 6/13
Tax Rate 28.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.50x 1.45x 1/13
D/E Ratio 0.25x 0.86x 13/13
Financial Leverage 1.25x 1.86x 13/13
Interest Coverage 1723.0x 7.4x 1/12
Working Capital $143M $143M 7/13

Cash Flow

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $85M $274M 11/13
OCF Growth YoY -30.8% -3.2% 10/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.90x 0.98x 10/13
Receivables Turnover 9.3x 8.4x 4/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.2x 1.8x 11/13
Days Sales Outstanding 39 days 44 days 10/13

Income Statement

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $858M $3.39B 11/13
Operating Income $16M $29M 8/13
Net Income $13M $13M 7/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMRTNIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.24 – –
Payout Ratio 126.3% 90.0% 3/8
Shares Outstanding 82M – –
Net Income Growth -39.5% -34.9% 6/10
EPS Growth -40.6% -40.6% 6/11

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$238M24.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$104M10.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$92M9.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$190M19.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$67M7.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MRTN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Trucking (No Local)

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Marten Transport Ltd (Trucking (No Local)): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MRTN Marten Transport Ltd ▶ $1.05B 67.8x 1.4x
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. ▼ $39.17B 36.3x 8.6x
JBHT Hunt J B Transport Services Inc ▲ $22.10B 33.4x 6.0x
KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. ▶ $10.60B 310.9x 1.5x
SAIA Saia Inc ▶ $9.11B 33.0x 3.3x
LSTR Landstar System Inc ▲ $5.93B 47.6x 7.4x
SNDR Schneider National, Inc. ▶ $5.53B 47.1x 1.8x
ARCB Arcbest Corp /Tx/ ▲ $2.91B 147.7x 2.2x
WERN Werner Enterprises Inc ▲ $2.00B – 1.5x
HTLD Heartland Express Inc ▶ $861M – 1.1x
CVLG Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. ▶ $780M 133.6x 1.9x
ULH Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. ▲ $442M – 0.8x
PAMT Pamt Corp ▲ $250M – 1.2x

Where MRTN sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Trucking (No Local)
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News

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) stock news

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FAQ

Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Marten Transport Ltd (MRTN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, MRTN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Marten Transport Ltd stock predictions?

For MRTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Marten Transport Ltd forecasts updated?

Marten Transport Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Marten Transport Ltd's industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, MRTN included, share the SEC industry code Trucking (No Local). The largest are: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL), Hunt J B Transport Services Inc (JBHT), Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX), Saia Inc (SAIA), Landstar System Inc (LSTR), Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.