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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -11.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $27M small-cap · #10 of 11 peers
Summary

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Microvision, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Microvision, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $27M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 11 Electronic Components, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of -553.9% is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of -8472.5% is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.

For MVIS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MVIS included.

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Price

MVIS price chart and AI forecast

MVIS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MVIS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electronic Components, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $27M $289M 10/11
P/B Ratio 1.30x 2.43x 9/11
EPS $-7.21 – –
Book Value/Share $0.87 – –
Revenue/Share $0.06 – –
FCF/Share $-2.87 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
ROE -553.9% 11.5% 8/8
ROA -128.9% 7.0% 8/8
Gross Margin -1173.1% 38.0% 9/9
Operating Margin -7554.7% 13.2% 11/11
Net Margin -8472.5% 12.9% 8/8
EBT Margin -8464.2% 12.1% 11/11
Tax Rate -0.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.68x 3.38x 11/11
Quick Ratio 0.61x 2.04x 10/10
D/E Ratio 3.30x 1.19x 1/11
Financial Leverage 4.30x 2.24x 1/10
Interest Coverage -8.4x 4.6x 10/10
Working Capital -$16M $111M 11/11

Cash Flow

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$67M $11M 11/11
Free Cash Flow -$68M $6M 10/10
Capital Spending -$820K -$6M 2/10
FCF/Sales -5066.8% 4.9% 10/10
CapEx/Sales 60.8% 4.4% 1/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.02x 0.53x 10/10
Receivables Turnover 1.5x 5.2x 11/11
Inventory Turnover 5.1x 2.2x 1/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.1x 7.8x 10/10
Days Sales Outstanding 248 days 70 days 1/11
Days Inventory 72 days 168 days 8/8
Payables Period 115 days 54 days 3/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 204 days 202 days 4/8

Income Statement

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1M $129M 11/11
Operating Income -$102M $11M 11/11
Net Income -$114M $10M 8/8
R&D Expense $47M $64M 5/8
SG&A Expense $26M $97M 6/9
Cost of Goods Sold $19M $175M 8/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMVISIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 24M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$34M38.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$27M30.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$920K1.0% of assets
Inventory$4M4.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$68M76.7% of assets
Short-term Debt$45M50.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MVIS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Electronic Components, NEC

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Microvision, Inc. (Electronic Components, NEC): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MVIS Microvision, Inc. ▼ $27M – 1.3x
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co ▶ $82.68B 55.8x 17.4x
VICR Vicor Corp ▲ $10.14B 73.6x 80.1x
AEIS Advanced Energy Industries Inc ▶ $9.53B 39.5x 6.6x
PI Impinj Inc ▲ $5.36B – 23.1x
VREX Varex Imaging Corp ▼ $778M 22.5x 1.6x
MPTI M-Tron Industries, Inc. ▶ $289M 26.3x 2.4x
ESP Espey Mfg & Electronics Corp ▶ $169M 14.3x 2.8x
LGL Lgl Group Inc ▶ $85M 111.7x 1.9x
NSYS Nortech Systems Inc ▲ $29M – 0.8x
NEON Neonode Inc. ▶ $13M 2.2x 0.7x

Where MVIS sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Electronic Components, NEC
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News

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) stock news

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FAQ

Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Microvision, Inc. (MVIS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Microvision, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Microvision, Inc. stock predictions?

For MVIS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Microvision, Inc. forecasts updated?

Microvision, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Microvision, Inc.'s industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, MVIS included, share the SEC industry code Electronic Components, NEC. The largest are: Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT), Vicor Corp (VICR), Advanced Energy Industries Inc (AEIS), Impinj Inc (PI), Varex Imaging Corp (VREX), M-Tron Industries, Inc. (MPTI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.