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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Nike, Inc. (NKE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 36.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $55.15B large-cap
Summary

Nike, Inc. (NKE) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Nike, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Nike, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $55.15B.

For NKE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NKE included.

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Price

NKE price chart and AI forecast

NKE
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NKE ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-31

Nike, Inc. (NKE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Rubber & Plastics Footwear peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $55.15B – –
P/E Ratio 17.77x – –
P/B Ratio 4.28x – –
Dividend Yield 4.40% – –
EPS $2.09 – –
Book Value/Share $8.68 – –
Revenue/Share $30.90 – –
FCF/Share $1.42 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 43.1% – –
EBT Margin 11.6% – –
Tax Rate 20.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.07x – –
Quick Ratio 1.39x – –
D/E Ratio 0.61x – –
Working Capital $12.26B – –

Cash Flow

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.78B – –
Free Cash Flow $2.10B – –
Capital Spending -$676M – –
OCF Growth YoY -21.1% – –
FCF Growth YoY -30.0% – –
FCF/Sales 4.6% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 8.8x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.3x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.4x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 42 days – –
Days Inventory 110 days – –
Payables Period 48 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 104 days – –

Income Statement

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $45.89B – –
SG&A Expense $16.01B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $26.12B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNKEIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.63 – –
Payout Ratio 78.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 1485M – –
EPS Growth 7.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$23.67B
Cash & Short-term Investments$6.90B33.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$5.24B25.2% of assets
Inventory$7.85B37.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$7.87B37.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$7.99B38.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NKE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Rubber & Plastics Footwear

Nike, Inc. (NKE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nike, Inc. (Rubber & Plastics Footwear): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NKE Nike, Inc. ▼ $55.15B 17.8x 4.3x
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp ▼ $11.69B 12.2x 5.1x
ONON On Holding Ag ▶ $11.61B – –
CROX Crocs, Inc. ▶ $5.90B 10.9x 4.3x
SLTN Silverton Energy, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where NKE sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Rubber & Plastics Footwear
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News

Nike, Inc. (NKE) stock news

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FAQ

Nike, Inc. (NKE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Nike, Inc. (NKE) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Nike, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Nike, Inc. stock predictions?

For NKE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Nike, Inc. forecasts updated?

Nike, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Nike, Inc.'s industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, NKE included, share the SEC industry code Rubber & Plastics Footwear. The largest are: Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK), On Holding Ag (ONON), Crocs, Inc. (CROX), Silverton Energy, Inc. (SLTN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.