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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 48.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.67B small-cap · #4 of 21 peers
Summary

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Nomad Foods Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Nomad Foods Ltd is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.67B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 21 Food and Kindred Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NOMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NOMD included.

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Price

NOMD price chart and AI forecast

NOMD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NOMD ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Food and Kindred Products peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.67B $186M 4/21
P/E Ratio 4.97x 17.44x 6/6
EPS $2.37 – –
Revenue/Share $48.14 – –
FCF/Share $3.83 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
ROA 5.0% -14.9% 1/10
ROIC 12.4% 2.0% 3/13
Gross Margin 27.4% 27.4% 9/17
Operating Margin 10.8% 1.4% 3/16
Net Margin 5.2% -4.1% 2/9
EBT Margin 6.0% -3.2% 4/17
Tax Rate 13.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.07x 1.10x 11/18
Quick Ratio 0.66x 0.63x 8/16
Working Capital $93M $15M 7/18

Cash Flow

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $766M -$60K 4/19
Free Cash Flow $546M $215M 3/9
Capital Spending -$220M -$115M 7/9
OCF Growth YoY -20.9% -18.2% 7/10
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% -10.8% 2/6
FCF/Sales 8.0% 6.5% 3/9
CapEx/Sales 3.2% 3.3% 6/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.96x 0.82x 5/10
Receivables Turnover 17.2x 10.9x 1/9
Inventory Turnover 10.0x 6.3x 4/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.5x 8.2x 4/10
Days Sales Outstanding 21 days 34 days 9/9
Days Inventory 37 days 59 days 11/14
Payables Period 66 days 37 days 3/13
Cash Conversion Cycle -8 days 41 days 8/9

Income Statement

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.86B $2.35B 3/11
Operating Income $741M -$80K 3/17
Net Income $359M -$2M 2/10
Cost of Goods Sold $4.98B $937M 4/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNOMDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 142M – –
Net Income Growth -21.4% – –
EPS Growth -15.7% -52.2% 1/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)

Total Current Assets$1.35B18.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$412M5.5% of assets
Inventory$518M7.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.51B60.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$321M4.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NOMD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Food and Kindred Products

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nomad Foods Ltd (Food and Kindred Products): 22 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NOMD Nomad Foods Ltd ▼ $1.67B 5.0x –
MDLZ Mondelez International, Inc. ▼ $82.47B 31.6x 3.2x
CAG Conagra Brands Inc. ▼ $6.91B – 1.1x
CPB Campbell's Co ▶ $5.93B 15.2x 1.5x
FLO Flowers Foods Inc ▼ $1.30B 19.7x 1.0x
BRBR Bellring Brands, Inc. ▼ $1.10B 6.9x –
SMPL Simply Good Foods Co ▼ $990M – 0.7x
OFRM Once Upon A Farm, Pbc ▶ $729M – 4.7x
VITL Vital Farms, Inc. ▲ $361M 23.3x 1.3x
OTLY Oatly Group Ab ▶ $355M – –
BGS B&G Foods, Inc. ▲ $186M – 0.5x
BYND Beyond Meat, Inc. ▲ $118M – 2.1x
GWLL Goldenwell Biotech, Inc. ▼ $59M – –
SOWG Sow Good Inc. ▼ $42M – –
BOF Branchout Food Inc. ▲ $34M – 7.5x
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. ▲ $29M – 2.7x
BRLS Borealis Foods Inc. ▼ $23M – –
HAIN Hain Celestial Group Inc ▶ $21M – 0.1x
STKH Steakholder Foods Ltd. ▶ $15M – 3.7x
CHSN Chanson International Holding ▼ $2M – –
TRWD Tradewinds Universal ▼ $660K – 3.6x
NXMH Next Meats Holdings, Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where NOMD sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Food and Kindred Products
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News

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) stock news

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FAQ

Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Nomad Foods Ltd (NOMD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Nomad Foods Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Nomad Foods Ltd stock predictions?

For NOMD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Nomad Foods Ltd forecasts updated?

Nomad Foods Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Nomad Foods Ltd's industry peers?

22 issuers in our coverage, NOMD included, share the SEC industry code Food and Kindred Products. The largest are: Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), Conagra Brands Inc. (CAG), Campbell's Co (CPB), Flowers Foods Inc (FLO), Bellring Brands, Inc. (BRBR), Simply Good Foods Co (SMPL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.