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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 9.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap n/a
Summary

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Its market capitalization is not available, so no size classification is given.

For NRUC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NRUC included.

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Price

NRUC price chart and AI forecast

NRUC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NRUC ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-31

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution peers listed below that report each metric.

Profitability & Margins

MetricNRUCIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.7% – –
ROA 1.0% – –
Net Margin 70.5% – –
EBT Margin 70.9% – –
Tax Rate 0.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricNRUCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 10.76x – –
Financial Leverage 11.76x – –
Interest Coverage -0.0x – –

Cash Flow

MetricNRUCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $359M – –
Free Cash Flow $358M – –
Capital Spending -$2M – –
OCF Growth YoY 42.0% – –
FCF Growth YoY 43.4% – –
FCF/Sales 64.3% – –
CapEx/Sales 0.3% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricNRUCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.01x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.5x – –

Income Statement

MetricNRUCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $557M – –
Net Income $392M – –
SG&A Expense $75M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNRUCIndustry medianRank
Net Income Growth 27.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$203M
Total Liabilities$36.18B
Quarterly Financial Reports

NRUC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NRUC National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ ▼ N/A – –
IX Orix Corp ▼ $41.27B 7.9x 1.5x
SWKHL Swk Holdings Corp ▼ $304M – 1.3x
TROO Troops, Inc. /Cayman Islands/ ▶ $186M – –
SPFX Standard Premium Finance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $9M 9.6x 1.0x

Where NRUC sits on the market map

Finance · Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution
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News

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) stock news

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FAQ

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ (NRUC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ stock predictions?

For NRUC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ forecasts updated?

National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corp /Dc/'s industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, NRUC included, share the SEC industry code Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution. The largest are: Orix Corp (IX), Swk Holdings Corp (SWKHL), Troops, Inc. /Cayman Islands/ (TROO), Standard Premium Finance Holdings, Inc. (SPFX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.