Norfolk Southern Corp's Dividend Analysis
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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06
Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
15.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$71.86B
large-cap · #5 of 6 peers
Summary
Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Norfolk Southern Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Norfolk Southern Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $71.86B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 6 Railroads, Line-Haul Operating issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
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Price
NSC price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How NSC ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Railroads, Line-Haul Operating peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $71.86B | 5/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 26.82x | 4/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.30x | 4/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.69% | 3/5 |
| EPS | $11.93 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $74.48 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $57.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.33 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 16.0% | – |
| ROA | 5.8% | 3/5 |
| ROIC | 9.7% | 4/5 |
| Operating Margin | 31.5% | – |
| Net Margin | 20.7% | 4/5 |
| EBT Margin | 26.4% | 4/5 |
| Tax Rate | 21.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.90x | 2/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.75x | 3/5 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.75x | 3/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.2x | 2/5 |
| Working Capital | -$356M | 2/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.78B | 5/6 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.65B | 4/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$2.14B | 3/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -11.0% | 5/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -21.5% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 12.7% | 4/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 16.5% | 3/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.28x | 3/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.6x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.3x | 3/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 35 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.96B | 3/5 |
| Operating Income | $4.09B | 5/5 |
| Net Income | $2.68B | 4/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NSC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $5.40 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 45.3% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 225M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -9.4% | – |
| EPS Growth | -10.6% | 5/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.33B | 7.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.60B | 3.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.23B | 2.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $29.22B | 63.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.62B | 3.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
NSC quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Norfolk Southern Corp (Railroads, Line-Haul Operating): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Energy & Transportation · Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
News
Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) stock news
Union Pacific CEO says he's 99.999% sure Norfolk Southern mega-merger will win approval
<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> Union Pacific Corp. UNP stock rose Thursday after the railroad operator reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings and revenue, as higher freight volumes helped ...
Norfolk Southern posts earnings beat, tighter trucking market lifts rail demand
Norfolk Southern Corp. NSC shares traded higher Thursday after the railroad operator reported third-quarter 2026 results that beat Wall Street expectations on adjusted earnings and revenue. Adjusted ...
FAQ
Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Norfolk Southern Corp (NSC) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Norfolk Southern Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Norfolk Southern Corp stock predictions?
For NSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Norfolk Southern Corp forecasts updated?
Norfolk Southern Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Norfolk Southern Corp's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, NSC included, share the SEC industry code Railroads, Line-Haul Operating. The largest are: Union Pacific Corp (UNP), Csx Corp (CSX), Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd/Cn (CP), Canadian National Railway Co (CNI), Ftai Infrastructure Inc. (FIP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.