Warren Buffett bought Nucor stock in 2025: Here’s how much his successor may have missed in gains by selling
Warren Buffett stepped down as the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway BRKBRK at the end of 2025 and as chairman this year. Buffett’s ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Nucor Corp (NUE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
31.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$58.15B
large-cap · #1 of 11 peers
Summary
Nucor Corp (NUE) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, NUE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Nucor Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $58.15B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 11 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NUE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NUE included.
Follow NUE freePrice
NUE price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How NUE ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-07-04
Nucor Corp (NUE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $58.15B | 1/11 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.43x | 4/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.63x | 3/7 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.88% | 3/5 |
| EPS | $13.19 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $97.45 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $159.12 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.98 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.0% | 6/8 |
| ROA | 7.8% | 5/8 |
| Gross Margin | 15.5% | 5/9 |
| Net Margin | 8.0% | 3/7 |
| EBT Margin | 11.4% | 3/10 |
| Tax Rate | 20.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.51x | 3/10 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.36x | 6/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.62x | 10/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.67x | 9/11 |
| Working Capital | $7.91B | 2/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.42B | 3/10 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.58B | 1/7 |
| Capital Spending | -$2.84B | 7/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 41.3% | 2/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 4.4% | 5/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 7.9% | 3/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.98x | 8/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.9x | 2/6 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.1x | 6/9 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.3x | 7/9 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 41 days | 5/6 |
| Days Inventory | 72 days | 4/9 |
| Payables Period | 28 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 85 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $36.10B | 2/9 |
| Net Income | $2.88B | 3/8 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.42B | 3/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $30.52B | 2/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NUE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.26 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 17.1% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 227M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 122.5% | 2/5 |
| EPS Growth | 168.1% | 3/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $13.16B | 35.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.48B | 6.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $4.04B | 10.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $6.02B | 16.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $13.69B | 37.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.89B | 7.8% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
NUE quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
Nucor Corp (NUE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nucor Corp (Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NUE Nucor Corp | ▶ | $58.15B |
| MT Arcelormittal | ▼ | $47.99B |
| STLD Steel Dynamics Inc | ▲ | $34.48B |
| TS Tenaris Sa | ▼ | $30.88B |
| CRS Carpenter Technology Corp | ▼ | $18.69B |
| TX Ternium S.A. | ▼ | $11.21B |
| CMC Commercial Metals Co | ▶ | $7.19B |
| SXC Suncoke Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $870M |
| MTUS Metallus Inc. | ▶ | $852M |
| TWI Titan International Inc | ▶ | $429M |
| ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. | ▲ | $423M |
Where NUE sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)
News
Nucor Corp (NUE) stock news
Nucor Corp stock stabilizes as dividend and guidance frame outlook
Nucor Corp stock trades around USD 267 on September 18, 2026 after issuing third quarter 2026 earnings guidance below Wall Street expectations. The company also declared a USD 0.56 quarterly dividend, ...
Nucor Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day
Shares of Nucor Corp. rallied 4.58% to $251.41 Monday, on what proved to be an all-around favorable trading session for the stock market, with the S&P 500 Index rising 0.66% to 7,773.95 and the Dow ...
FAQ
Nucor Corp (NUE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nucor Corp (NUE) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, NUE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Nucor Corp stock predictions?
For NUE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nucor Corp forecasts updated?
Nucor Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nucor Corp's industry peers?
11 issuers in our coverage, NUE included, share the SEC industry code Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens). The largest are: Arcelormittal (MT), Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD), Tenaris Sa (TS), Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS), Ternium S.A. (TX), Commercial Metals Co (CMC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.