Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, NXST is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.07B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 9 Television Broadcasting Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NXST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How NXST ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Television Broadcasting Stations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.07B | 4/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 31.24x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.24x | 4/8 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.46% | 2/6 |
| EPS | $5.27 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $73.52 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $190.70 | – |
| FCF/Share | $24.12 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 6.3% | 2/5 |
| Operating Margin | 16.9% | 1/6 |
| EBT Margin | 3.4% | 3/7 |
| Tax Rate | 20.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.56x | 3/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 6.82x | 2/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.82x | 2/7 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.7x | 4/8 |
| Working Capital | $721M | 2/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $894M | 4/8 |
| Free Cash Flow | $743M | 3/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$151M | 6/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -35.3% | 3/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -40.8% | 3/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 12.7% | 2/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.6% | 4/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.33x | 5/6 |
| Receivables Turnover | 3.7x | 7/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.2x | 6/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 98 days | 1/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.88B | 3/8 |
| Operating Income | $1.04B | 1/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.33B | 3/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NXST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $7.34 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 139.3% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 31M | – |
| EPS Growth | -72.5% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.00B | 11.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $218M | 1.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.58B | 8.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $15.45B | 87.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.12B | 6.3% of assets |
NXST quarterly financials and insider trading
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (Television Broadcasting Stations): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NXST Nexstar Media Group, Inc. | ▶ | $5.07B |
| FOX Fox Corp | ▼ | $24.01B |
| FWONA Liberty Media Corp | ▼ | $20.80B |
| SKYD Skydance Corp | ▲ | $8.15B |
| VSNT Versant Media Group, Inc. | ▶ | $4.35B |
| NMAX Newsmax Inc. | ▲ | $1.20B |
| EVC Entravision Communications Corp | ▲ | $583M |
| GTN Gray Media, Inc | ▶ | $429M |
| SSP E.W. Scripps Co | ▶ | $262M |
Where NXST sits on the market map
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) stock news
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Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, NXST is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Nexstar Media Group, Inc. stock predictions?
For NXST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nexstar Media Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nexstar Media Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
9 issuers in our coverage, NXST included, share the SEC industry code Television Broadcasting Stations. The largest are: Fox Corp (FOX), Liberty Media Corp (FWONA), Skydance Corp (SKYD), Versant Media Group, Inc. (VSNT), Newsmax Inc. (NMAX), Entravision Communications Corp (EVC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.