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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Open Text Corp (OTEX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 8.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $6.17B mid-cap · #10 of 43 peers
Summary

Open Text Corp (OTEX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Open Text Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Open Text Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.17B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 43 Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For OTEX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

OTEX price chart and AI forecast

OTEX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How OTEX ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Open Text Corp (OTEX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.17B $271M 10/43
P/E Ratio 9.88x 21.95x 14/15
P/B Ratio 1.54x 2.53x 23/31
Dividend Yield 4.35% 1.73% 1/5
EPS $2.58 – –
Book Value/Share $16.58 – –
Revenue/Share $21.67 – –
FCF/Share $3.34 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
ROE 16.0% -1.5% 7/27
ROA 4.9% -1.8% 9/31
ROIC 10.3% -9.0% 9/35
Gross Margin 73.7% 37.7% 4/33
Operating Margin 20.6% -11.9% 4/38
Net Margin 12.3% -1.1% 7/30
EBT Margin 16.4% -8.5% 6/39
Tax Rate 25.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.81x 1.62x 33/39
D/E Ratio 2.26x 0.73x 10/35
Financial Leverage 3.27x 1.87x 11/35
Interest Coverage 3.5x -1.0x 10/34
Working Capital -$505M $39M 37/39

Cash Flow

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.01B $5M 3/42
Free Cash Flow $808M $76M 3/25
Capital Spending -$199M -$31M 24/25
OCF Growth YoY 21.2% 29.4% 10/18
FCF Growth YoY 17.5% 17.5% 8/15
FCF/Sales 15.4% 7.4% 8/24
CapEx/Sales 3.8% 1.8% 9/24

Operational Efficiency

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.40x 0.66x 21/28
Receivables Turnover 7.0x 6.5x 12/25
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.1x 17.6x 18/27
Days Sales Outstanding 52 days 56 days 14/25
Payables Period 34 days 52 days 20/31

Income Statement

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.25B $564M 6/28
Operating Income $1.08B -$8M 3/40
Net Income $643M -$680K 3/31
R&D Expense $648M $27M 2/29
SG&A Expense $1.73B $118M 3/37
Cost of Goods Sold $1.38B $87M 8/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricOTEXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.11 – –
Payout Ratio 43.0% 28.1% 1/5
Shares Outstanding 242M – –
Net Income Growth 47.5% 13.4% 5/12
EPS Growth 56.4% 17.6% 4/12

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.12B16.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$956M7.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$751M5.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$9.09B69.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.50B19.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

OTEX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design

Open Text Corp (OTEX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Open Text Corp (Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
OTEX Open Text Corp ▼ $6.17B 9.9x 1.5x
IOT Samsara Inc. ▲ $23.17B 989.2x 14.5x
LDOS Leidos Holdings, Inc. ▼ $15.67B 11.6x 3.0x
CACI Caci International Inc /De/ ▶ $13.58B 25.4x 3.0x
IONQ Ionq, Inc. ▼ $13.43B – 4.0x
GDDY Godaddy Inc. ▲ $13.42B 12.9x –
JKHY Jack Henry & Associates Inc ▶ $10.74B 22.0x 5.2x
AUR Aurora Innovation, Inc. ▲ $9.73B – 5.0x
QNT Quantinuum Inc. ▶ $9.62B – 23.3x
LNWO Light & Wonder, Inc. ▼ $6.31B 22.2x 20.9x
SAIC Science Applications International Corp ▼ $5.58B 15.5x 3.9x
WAY Waystar Holding Corp. ▶ $5.25B 42.8x 1.3x
PSN Parsons Corp ▶ $4.70B 18.5x 1.8x
AGYS Agilysys Inc ▼ $3.10B 72.3x 9.2x
KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.88B 35.7x 2.7x
NTCT Netscout Systems Inc ▼ $2.77B 23.2x 1.7x
WRD Weride Inc. ▶ $1.40B – –
OSPN Onespan Inc. ▲ $645M 9.5x 2.4x
SLP Simulations Plus, Inc. ▼ $374M – 2.7x
ECX Ecarx Holdings Inc. ▲ $334M – –
TLS Telos Corp ▲ $300M – 3.2x
KDK Kodiak Ai, Inc. ▼ $271M – –
RBBN Ribbon Communications Inc. ▲ $236M 10.2x 0.6x
SMRT Smartrent, Inc. ▲ $218M – 1.0x
ASUR Asure Software Inc ▲ $204M – 1.0x
UIS Unisys Corp ▲ $161M – –
MRLN Merlin, Inc. ▼ $111M – –
CSPI Csp Inc /Ma/ ▲ $78M – 1.8x
WYY Widepoint Corp ▲ $62M – 5.3x
ARBE Arbe Robotics Ltd. ▶ $59M – 1.5x
ODYS Odysight.Ai Inc. ▲ $44M – 2.5x
BNAI Brand Engagement Network Inc. ▼ $44M – 2.2x
MBAI Mbody Ai Ltd. ▲ $42M – 1.4x
TSPH Tusimple Holdings Inc. ▲ $41M – –
STEM Stem, Inc. ▲ $34M – –
CREX Creative Realities, Inc. ▼ $29M – 1.5x
VEEA Veea Inc. ▼ $13M – 1.6x
FUSE Fusemachines Inc. ▼ $10M – –
SLE Super League Enterprise, Inc. ▼ $9M – 0.7x
HCTI Healthcare Triangle, Inc. ▼ $6M – –
GRHI Gold Rock Holdings, Inc. ▼ $4M – 68.6x
RIME Algorhythm Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
OMQS Omniq Corp. ▲ $1M – –
DAIC Cid Holdco, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
SEII Sharing Economy International Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where OTEX sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design
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News

Open Text Corp (OTEX) stock news

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FAQ

Open Text Corp (OTEX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Open Text Corp (OTEX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Open Text Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Open Text Corp stock predictions?

For OTEX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Open Text Corp forecasts updated?

Open Text Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Open Text Corp's industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, OTEX included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design. The largest are: Samsara Inc. (IOT), Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS), Caci International Inc /De/ (CACI), Ionq, Inc. (IONQ), Godaddy Inc. (GDDY), Jack Henry & Associates Inc (JKHY).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.