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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 25.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $15.40B large-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Performance Food Group Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Performance Food Group Co is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $15.40B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Wholesale-Groceries, General Line issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PFGC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PFGC included.

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Price

PFGC price chart and AI forecast

PFGC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PFGC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-27

Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Wholesale-Groceries, General Line peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $15.40B $1.47B 1/6
P/E Ratio 42.70x 35.66x 2/5
P/B Ratio 3.14x 2.46x 3/6
EPS $2.29 – –
Book Value/Share $31.10 – –
Revenue/Share $430.64 – –
FCF/Share $6.54 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
ROE 7.3% 6.0% 2/5
ROA 1.9% 1.9% 3/5
ROIC 6.5% 5.5% 3/6
Gross Margin 11.9% 18.9% 5/6
Operating Margin 1.3% 1.0% 3/6
Net Margin 0.5% 0.5% 3/5
EBT Margin 0.7% 0.5% 3/6
Tax Rate 26.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.51x 2.46x 5/6
Quick Ratio 0.67x 1.05x 4/5
D/E Ratio 2.85x 2.37x 2/6
Financial Leverage 3.85x 3.37x 2/6
Interest Coverage 3.2x 2.8x 2/6
Working Capital $2.65B $331M 1/6

Cash Flow

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.41B $67M 1/6
Free Cash Flow $1.03B $81M 1/5
Capital Spending -$384M -$37M 5/5
OCF Growth YoY 11.9% – –
FCF Growth YoY 112.1% – –
FCF/Sales 1.5% 1.5% 3/5
CapEx/Sales 0.6% 0.6% 3/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 3.60x 3.69x 4/5
Receivables Turnover 22.2x 22.2x 3/5
Inventory Turnover 13.8x 13.8x 3/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 14.2x 18.3x 4/5
Days Sales Outstanding 16 days 16 days 3/5
Days Inventory 26 days 26 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $67.84B $4.26B 1/5
Operating Income $888M $84M 1/6
Net Income $359M $79M 1/5
Cost of Goods Sold $59.75B $3.03B 1/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPFGCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 158M – –
Net Income Growth -19.8% – –
EPS Growth -20.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$7.81B41.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$103M0.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3.05B16.2% of assets
Inventory$4.33B23.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$13.95B74.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PFGC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Wholesale-Groceries, General Line

Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Performance Food Group Co (Wholesale-Groceries, General Line): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PFGC Performance Food Group Co ▼ $15.40B 42.7x 3.1x
CHEF Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. ▶ $4.63B 62.1x 7.6x
UNFI United Natural Foods Inc ▶ $2.88B 35.7x 1.8x
DIT Amcon Distributing Co ▲ $59M 31.8x 0.5x
MWYN Marwynn Holdings, Inc. ▼ $45M – 17.8x
IVFH Innovative Food Holdings Inc ▲ $8M 3.0x 1.0x

Where PFGC sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Wholesale-Groceries, General Line
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News

Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) stock news

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FAQ

Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Performance Food Group Co (PFGC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Performance Food Group Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Performance Food Group Co stock predictions?

For PFGC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Performance Food Group Co forecasts updated?

Performance Food Group Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Performance Food Group Co's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, PFGC included, share the SEC industry code Wholesale-Groceries, General Line. The largest are: Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF), United Natural Foods Inc (UNFI), Amcon Distributing Co (DIT), Marwynn Holdings, Inc. (MWYN), Innovative Food Holdings Inc (IVFH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.