Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Privia Health Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Privia Health Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.88B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 12 Services-Health Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For PRVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How PRVA ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Health Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.88B | 2/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 97.92x | 1/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.68x | 5/10 |
| EPS | $0.23 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.12 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $18.46 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 3.6% | 3/8 |
| ROA | 1.9% | 4/8 |
| ROIC | 5.2% | 2/10 |
| Operating Margin | 1.9% | 4/12 |
| Net Margin | 1.2% | 4/8 |
| EBT Margin | 2.4% | 4/12 |
| Tax Rate | 39.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62x | 6/11 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.83x | 6/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.90x | 6/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 117.7x | 2/11 |
| Working Capital | $391M | 1/10 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $131M | 2/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 42.8% | 3/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.58x | 3/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.1x | 8/9 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 8669.4x | 1/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 89 days | 2/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.36B | 1/11 |
| Operating Income | $45M | 4/12 |
| Net Income | $28M | 4/9 |
| SG&A Expense | $335M | 2/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PRVA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 128M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 89.5% | – |
| EPS Growth | 130.0% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.03B | 68.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $412M | 27.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $574M | 38.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $651M | 43.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $626M | 42.1% of assets |
PRVA quarterly financials and insider trading
Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Privia Health Group, Inc. (Services-Health Services): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PRVA Privia Health Group, Inc. | ▼ | $2.88B |
| LFST Lifestance Health Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.49B |
| WGS Genedx Holdings Corp. | ▲ | $2.09B |
| PNTG Pennant Group, Inc. | ▼ | $1.46B |
| USPH U S Physical Therapy Inc /Nv | ▼ | $1.28B |
| INNV Innovage Holding Corp. | ▲ | $1.21B |
| OMDA Omada Health, Inc. | ▲ | $1.08B |
| SRTA Strata Critical Medical, Inc. | ▶ | $402M |
| EUDA Euda Health Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $46M |
| PIII P3 Health Partners Inc. | ▲ | $30M |
| DCGO Docgo Inc. | ▲ | $27M |
| ATPC Agape Atp Corp | ▼ | $2M |
| VSEE Vsee Health, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where PRVA sits on the market map
Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) stock news
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Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Privia Health Group, Inc. (PRVA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Privia Health Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Privia Health Group, Inc. stock predictions?
For PRVA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 16.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Privia Health Group, Inc. forecasts updated?
Privia Health Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Privia Health Group, Inc.'s industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, PRVA included, share the SEC industry code Services-Health Services. The largest are: Lifestance Health Group, Inc. (LFST), Genedx Holdings Corp. (WGS), Pennant Group, Inc. (PNTG), U S Physical Therapy Inc /Nv (USPH), Innovage Holding Corp. (INNV), Omada Health, Inc. (OMDA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.