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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 27.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $382M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Redwood Trust Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Redwood Trust Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $382M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.41x is the lowest of the 57 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 29.86x is the highest of the 57 peers that report one.

For RWT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RWT included.

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Price

RWT price chart and AI forecast

RWT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RWT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $382M $11.29B 60/60
P/E Ratio 30.40x 26.31x 22/55
P/B Ratio 0.41x 2.08x 57/57
EPS $0.10 – –
Book Value/Share $7.43 – –
Revenue/Share $10.90 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin 1.4% 26.2% 43/45
Tax Rate 69.5% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 29.86x 1.13x 1/57
Financial Leverage 30.86x 2.15x 1/56

Cash Flow

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$14.28B $870M 60/60

Operational Efficiency

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.13x 54/55
Fixed Assets Turnover 144.6x 1.2x 1/19

Income Statement

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.37B $1.93B 37/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRWTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 126M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$192M0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$27.88B96.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RWT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Real Estate Investment Trusts

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Redwood Trust Inc (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RWT Redwood Trust Inc ▲ $382M 30.4x 0.4x
WELL Welltower Inc. ▼ $161.18B 116.8x 3.7x
PLD Prologis, Inc. ▶ $116.81B 31.6x 2.2x
EQIX Equinix Inc ▼ $97.29B 63.5x 6.8x
AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ ▼ $86.33B 25.5x 23.2x
SPG Simon Property Group Inc. ▼ $66.47B 14.5x 11.3x
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. ▼ $60.44B 46.7x 2.6x
O Realty Income Corp ▼ $53.06B 42.5x 1.3x
PSA Public Storage ▼ $52.39B 28.5x 5.7x
VMRK Vivmark Residential ▼ $47.40B 22.4x 4.5x
VTR Ventas, Inc. ▼ $44.04B 162.0x 3.0x
CCI Crown Castle Inc. ▶ $35.00B 50.5x –
IRM Iron Mountain Inc ▼ $33.49B 114.8x –
EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. ▼ $30.74B 30.9x 2.3x
VICI Vici Properties Inc. ▼ $25.99B 10.4x 0.9x
SBAC Sba Communications Corp ▼ $19.84B 20.2x –
ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. ▼ $17.32B 42.0x 3.3x
HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. ▶ $16.65B 21.2x 2.6x
KIM Kimco Realty Corp ▼ $15.37B 26.6x 1.5x
LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New ▼ $15.20B 27.4x 15.5x
WPC W. P. Carey Inc. ▼ $14.84B 22.2x 1.7x
SUI Sun Communities Inc ▼ $14.60B 10.6x 2.2x
WY Weyerhaeuser Co ▼ $14.13B 35.0x 1.5x
OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc ▼ $13.83B 17.1x 2.6x
NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc ▼ $13.74B 4.6x 0.8x
MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. ▼ $13.65B 35.3x 2.5x
REG Regency Centers Corp ▼ $13.40B 25.1x 1.9x
AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. ▼ $12.41B 102.4x 3.4x
ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc ▼ $11.87B 30.6x 6.7x
GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. ▼ $11.75B 12.2x 2.4x
UDR Udr, Inc. ▼ $11.32B 23.3x 3.5x
AMH American Homes 4 Rent ▼ $11.26B 25.9x 1.7x
EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc ▼ $10.56B 34.5x 3.0x
BXP Bxp, Inc. ▼ $9.45B 26.3x 1.8x
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust ▼ $9.18B 18.4x 2.8x
CUBE Cubesmart ▼ $8.89B 27.3x 3.4x
CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. ▼ $8.64B 22.8x 1.9x
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. ▼ $8.49B 22.9x 2.8x
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. ▼ $8.21B – 1.1x
NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. ▼ $7.97B 20.0x 1.8x
RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. ▼ $7.95B 30.7x 10.6x
FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc ▼ $7.79B 18.9x 2.8x
ADC Agree Realty Corp ▼ $7.71B 37.7x 1.2x
LINE Lineage, Inc. ▶ $7.58B – 1.0x
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. ▶ $7.25B – 0.5x
STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. ▼ $6.69B 27.8x 1.9x
MAC Macerich Co ▶ $6.51B – 2.3x
VNO Vornado Realty Trust ▶ $6.15B 56.8x 1.1x
HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc ▼ $6.06B – 1.4x
RYN Rayonier Inc ▶ $5.68B 6.3x 1.1x
EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. ▼ $5.64B 20.1x 1.3x
OUT Outfront Media Inc. ▼ $5.35B 26.2x 7.7x
KRG Kite Realty Group Trust ▼ $5.06B 14.8x 1.8x
SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. ▼ $4.94B 71.6x 1.8x
PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. ▼ $4.94B 34.1x 2.1x
RITM Rithm Capital Corp. ▶ $4.84B 15.8x 0.6x
STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. ▶ $4.61B 16.0x 0.7x
CUZ Cousins Properties Inc ▶ $4.55B 89.2x 1.0x
EPR Epr Properties ▼ $4.27B 17.6x 1.9x
KRC Kilroy Realty Corp ▼ $4.12B 19.0x 0.8x

Where RWT sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Investment Trusts
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News

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) stock news

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FAQ

Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Redwood Trust Inc (RWT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Redwood Trust Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Redwood Trust Inc stock predictions?

For RWT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Redwood Trust Inc forecasts updated?

Redwood Trust Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Redwood Trust Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, RWT included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.