Surf Air Mobility expands Palantir-powered AI push with fifth aviation software deal
<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> Surf Air Mobility Inc. SRFM announced Thursday that it signed a software agreement with Flying ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
-19.0%
Spearman, 300 dates
Market Cap
$111M
small-cap · #4 of 6 peers
Summary
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, SRFM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Surf Air Mobility Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $111M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Air Transportation, Nonscheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SRFM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 300 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -17.0%, measured on 343 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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SRFM price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How SRFM ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Nonscheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $111M | 4/6 |
| EPS | $-1.01 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.93 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.54 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -79.9% | – |
| Gross Margin | 1.6% | 4/6 |
| Operating Margin | -67.3% | 5/7 |
| Net Margin | -101.6% | – |
| EBT Margin | -101.9% | 6/7 |
| Tax Rate | 0.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.26x | 6/7 |
| Interest Coverage | -13.2x | 3/7 |
| Working Capital | -$116M | 5/7 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$51M | 6/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$64M | 4/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$13M | 2/5 |
| FCF/Sales | -58.0% | 4/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 11.8% | 3/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.79x | 3/6 |
| Receivables Turnover | 23.2x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.1x | 4/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 16 days | – |
| Payables Period | 74 days | 2/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $111M | 4/6 |
| Operating Income | -$75M | 6/7 |
| Net Income | -$112M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $64M | 3/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $109M | 3/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SRFM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 119M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $41M | 29.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $18M | 13.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5M | 3.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $183M | |
| Short-term Debt | $136M | 96.4% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
SRFM quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Nonscheduled
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Surf Air Mobility Inc. (Air Transportation, Nonscheduled): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Energy & Transportation · Air Transportation, Nonscheduled
News
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) stock news
Surf Air Mobility Signs OperatorOS Contract with Flying Zebra
Detailed price information for Surf Air Mobility Inc (SRFM-N) from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Why is Surf Air Mobility stock gaining Monday?
<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> Surf Air Mobility Inc. SRFM stock rose in Monday premarket trading after the company said it will participate in a Federal Aviation Administration program to modernize U.S.
FAQ
Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Surf Air Mobility Inc. (SRFM) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, SRFM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Surf Air Mobility Inc. stock predictions?
For SRFM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -19.0%, measured on 300 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -17.0%, measured on 343 forecast dates between 2023-09-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Surf Air Mobility Inc. forecasts updated?
Surf Air Mobility Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s industry peers?
7 issuers in our coverage, SRFM included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Nonscheduled. The largest are: Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL), Wheels Up Experience Inc. (UP), Flyexclusive Inc. (FLYX), Volato Group, Inc. (SOAR), Jet.Ai Inc. (JTAI), Creatd, Inc. (CRTD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.