Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Transdigm Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Transdigm Group Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $62.98B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 11 Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 59.6% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For TDG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TDG ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $62.98B | 1/11 |
| P/E Ratio | 34.57x | 6/6 |
| Dividend Yield | 13.99% | – |
| EPS | $32.96 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $181.05 | – |
| FCF/Share | $34.86 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.0% | 2/6 |
| ROIC | 19.1% | 1/6 |
| Gross Margin | 59.6% | 1/9 |
| Operating Margin | 46.0% | 1/9 |
| Net Margin | 21.3% | 1/7 |
| EBT Margin | 27.4% | 1/9 |
| Tax Rate | 22.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.02x | 6/9 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.01x | 7/9 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.4x | 5/11 |
| Working Capital | $5.20B | 1/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.20B | 1/8 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.93B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$271M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 4.5% | 5/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 1.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 19.2% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.7% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.37x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.5x | 2/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.6x | 7/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.8x | 4/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 66 days | 4/5 |
| Days Inventory | 233 days | 2/8 |
| Payables Period | 39 days | 4/8 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 260 days | 1/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $10.01B | 1/5 |
| Operating Income | $4.61B | 1/8 |
| Net Income | $2.13B | 1/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.11B | 1/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $4.05B | 2/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TDG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $159.36 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 483.5% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 55M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 10.2% | – |
| EPS Growth | 9.3% | 4/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.77B | 29.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.77B | 10.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.82B | 6.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.59B | 9.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $36.47B | |
| Short-term Debt | $2.14B | 8.0% of assets |
TDG quarterly financials and insider trading
Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Transdigm Group Inc (Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TDG Transdigm Group Inc | ▼ | $62.98B |
| ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd | ▼ | $35.08B |
| ARXS Arxis, Inc. | ▼ | $22.59B |
| LOAR Loar Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $5.83B |
| KRMN Karman Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $4.60B |
| ATRO Astronics Corp | ▲ | $2.65B |
| DCO Ducommun Inc /De/ | ▶ | $2.58B |
| AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. | ▶ | $1.96B |
| PKE Park Aerospace Corp | ▲ | $572M |
| PRZO Parazero Technologies Ltd. | ▶ | $15M |
| AIRI Air Industries Group | ▶ | $12M |
Where TDG sits on the market map
Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock news
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Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Transdigm Group Inc (TDG) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Transdigm Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Transdigm Group Inc stock predictions?
For TDG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Transdigm Group Inc forecasts updated?
Transdigm Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Transdigm Group Inc's industry peers?
11 issuers in our coverage, TDG included, share the SEC industry code Aircraft Parts & Auxiliary Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT), Arxis, Inc. (ARXS), Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR), Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN), Astronics Corp (ATRO), Ducommun Inc /De/ (DCO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.