Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.34B.
For TFPM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -6.0%, measured on 322 forecast dates between 2023-03-31 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 365 forecast dates between 2023-03-31 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TFPM ranks among 5185 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Mineral Royalty Traders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $6.34B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 38.39x | – |
| EPS | $0.80 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $3.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 7.9% | – |
| ROA | 7.6% | – |
| ROIC | 7.1% | – |
| Gross Margin | 63.7% | – |
| Operating Margin | 18.0% | – |
| Net Margin | 19.8% | – |
| EBT Margin | 25.2% | – |
| Tax Rate | 21.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.92x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 3.80x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 1.03x | – |
| Working Capital | $114M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $652M | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.39x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 35.8x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 10 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $815M | – |
| Operating Income | $147M | – |
| Net Income | $161M | – |
| R&D Expense | $12M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TFPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 207M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $153M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $71M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $23M | |
| Inventory | $5M | |
| Short-term Debt | $4M |
TFPM quarterly financials and insider trading
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (Mineral Royalty Traders): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) stock news
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Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TFPM) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. stock predictions?
For TFPM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -6.0%, measured on 322 forecast dates between 2023-03-31 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 365 forecast dates between 2023-03-31 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. forecasts updated?
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.'s industry peers?
3 issuers in our coverage, TFPM included, share the SEC industry code Mineral Royalty Traders. The largest are: Royal Gold Inc (RGLD), Ssr Mining Inc. (SSRM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.