Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, TKO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Tko Group Holdings, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $33.22B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 19 Services-Amusement & Recreation Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TKO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 290 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 333 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TKO ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Amusement & Recreation Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $33.22B | 2/19 |
| P/E Ratio | 49.44x | 3/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.78x | 2/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.72% | – |
| EPS | $3.55 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $17.94 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $34.72 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 9.0% | 6/15 |
| Operating Margin | 18.8% | 5/18 |
| EBT Margin | 14.1% | 5/18 |
| Tax Rate | 12.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28x | 6/19 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.33x | 4/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.79x | 3/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.1x | 5/16 |
| Working Capital | $698M | 1/19 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.80B | 2/19 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 76.8% | 1/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.40x | 7/12 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.2x | 6/10 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.5x | 6/11 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 59 days | 5/10 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $6.57B | 3/13 |
| Operating Income | $1.23B | 1/19 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.99B | 2/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TKO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.27 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 35.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 189M | – |
| EPS Growth | 46.7% | 2/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.21B | 19.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $592M | 3.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.06B | 6.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $7.90B | 48.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.23B | 13.7% of assets |
TKO quarterly financials and insider trading
Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (Services-Amusement & Recreation Services): 21 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TKO Tko Group Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $33.22B |
| LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. | ▼ | $40.18B |
| WMG Warner Music Group Corp. | ▶ | $16.43B |
| LLYVA Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $8.73B |
| MSGE Sphere Entertainment Co. | ▶ | $3.79B |
| ACEL Accel Entertainment, Inc. | ▶ | $883M |
| LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp | ▲ | $656M |
| RSVR Reservoir Media, Inc. | ▲ | $622M |
| ROLR High Roller Technologies, Inc. | ▼ | $53M |
| GLXZ Galaxy Gaming, Inc. | ▼ | $40M |
| GAME Gamesquare Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| NOMA Nomadar Corp. | ▶ | $30M |
| SFRX Seafarer Exploration Corp | ▲ | $26M |
| AIFA All In Futuretech Alliance, Inc. | ▶ | $24M |
| SSGC Safespace Global Corp | ▶ | $14M |
| ADTI Adapti, Inc. | ▲ | $13M |
| APHP American Picture House Corp | ▶ | $7M |
| FLZH Flash Sports & Media Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $3M |
| GMBL Esports Entertainment Group, Inc. | ▲ | $140K |
| BOTY Lingerie Fighting Championships, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| SPQS Sportsquest, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where TKO sits on the market map
Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) stock news
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Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Tko Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, TKO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Tko Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For TKO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 290 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 333 forecast dates between 2023-11-10 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Tko Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Tko Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Tko Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
21 issuers in our coverage, TKO included, share the SEC industry code Services-Amusement & Recreation Services. The largest are: Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV), Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG), Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. (LLYVA), Sphere Entertainment Co. (MSGE), Accel Entertainment, Inc. (ACEL), Lucky Strike Entertainment Corp (LUCK).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.