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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 56.0% Spearman, 55 dates
Market Cap $1.93B small-cap · #2 of 28 peers
Summary

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, TRLV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.93B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 28 Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TRLV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 55 forecast dates between 2026-05-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 98 forecast dates between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRLV included.

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Price

TRLV price chart and AI forecast

TRLV
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TRLV ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.93B $28M 2/28
P/B Ratio 2.51x 1.11x 4/13
EPS $-2.44 – –
Book Value/Share $3.99 – –
Revenue/Share $5.92 – –
FCF/Share $1.01 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
ROE -61.7% -33.7% 15/16
ROA -22.8% -12.9% 16/24
ROIC -14.0% -3.3% 13/20
Gross Margin 59.5% 37.0% 7/23
Operating Margin -24.3% -14.0% 16/24
Net Margin -41.5% -17.4% 16/22
EBT Margin -28.6% -14.2% 18/25
Tax Rate -44.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 5.94x 1.55x 4/28
Quick Ratio 3.98x 0.70x 3/26
D/E Ratio 1.71x 0.60x 5/17
Financial Leverage 2.71x 1.60x 5/17
Interest Coverage -20.5x -1.1x 17/22
Working Capital $470M $11M 3/28

Cash Flow

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $245M -$490K 1/29
Free Cash Flow $195M $9M 1/12
Capital Spending -$50M -$7M 12/12
OCF Growth YoY 23.8% -57.5% 4/11
FCF Growth YoY 116.3% -21.5% 1/6
FCF/Sales 17.1% 3.3% 2/12
CapEx/Sales 4.4% 1.9% 3/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.55x 0.99x 12/17
Receivables Turnover 289.2x 16.3x 1/16
Inventory Turnover 2.5x 2.7x 13/21
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.9x 3.0x 12/17
Days Sales Outstanding 1 days 23 days 16/16
Days Inventory 148 days 135 days 8/20
Payables Period 49 days 51 days 11/18
Cash Conversion Cycle 100 days 105 days 8/12

Income Statement

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.14B $174M 2/18
Operating Income -$277M -$3M 25/27
Net Income -$473M -$5M 24/24
SG&A Expense $432M $31M 1/16
Cost of Goods Sold $462M $33M 2/24

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRLVIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 192M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$565M27.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$325M15.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$4M0.2% of assets
Inventory$187M9.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.31B63.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$34M1.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRLV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products): 32 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRLV Trulieve Cannabis Corp. ▶ $1.93B – 2.5x
DFTX Definium Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $4.31B – 4.7x
CRON Cronos Group Inc. ▶ $1.18B 18.9x 1.1x
TLRY Tilray Brands, Inc. ▶ $414M – 0.3x
SNDL Sndl Inc. ▶ $322M – –
CGC Canopy Growth Corp ▶ $302M – 0.6x
GLAS Glass House Brands Inc. ▶ $301M – 4.1x
USNA Usana Health Sciences Inc ▼ $287M – 0.6x
ACB Aurora Cannabis Inc ▶ $253M – –
NAGE Niagen Bioscience, Inc. ▶ $197M 14.7x 2.4x
MDWD Mediwound Ltd. ▼ $157M – –
AAWH Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. ▲ $83M – –
FTLF Fitlife Brands, Inc. ▶ $81M 13.2x 1.7x
BTMD Biote Corp. ▲ $32M 2.7x –
MRMD Marimed Inc. ▲ $23M – 0.5x
CFOO China Foods Holdings Ltd. ▼ $21M – –
MTEX Mannatech Inc ▲ $14M 5.8x –
ADIA Adia Med, Inc. ▲ $13M – –
CHUC Charlie's Holdings, Inc. ▶ $13M – 4.5x
GLUC Glucose Health, Inc. ▼ $10M – –
BON Bon Natural Life Ltd ▼ $7M – –
NAII Natural Alternatives International Inc ▲ $7M – 0.1x
PLSH Panacea Life Sciences Holdings, Inc. ▲ $6M – –
CYAN Cyanotech Corp ▲ $5M – 0.6x
IMCC Im Cannabis Corp. ▼ $2M – –
AIBT Aibotics, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
NPHC Nutra Pharma Corp ▼ $720K – –
MEHA Functional Brands Inc. ▼ $310K – –
CBDY Target Group Inc. ▼ N/A – –
HYEX Healthy Extracts Inc. ▲ N/A – –
NTRR Neutra Corp. ▼ N/A – –
SNYRQ Synergy Chc Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where TRLV sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products
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News

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) stock news

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FAQ

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Trulieve Cannabis Corp. (TRLV) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, TRLV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Trulieve Cannabis Corp. stock predictions?

For TRLV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 55 forecast dates between 2026-05-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 98 forecast dates between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Trulieve Cannabis Corp. forecasts updated?

Trulieve Cannabis Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Trulieve Cannabis Corp.'s industry peers?

32 issuers in our coverage, TRLV included, share the SEC industry code Medicinal Chemicals & Botanical Products. The largest are: Definium Therapeutics, Inc. (DFTX), Cronos Group Inc. (CRON), Tilray Brands, Inc. (TLRY), Sndl Inc. (SNDL), Canopy Growth Corp (CGC), Glass House Brands Inc. (GLAS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.