Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Ternium S.A. (TX) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Ternium S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Ternium S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.21B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 11 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 57.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TX ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Ternium S.A. (TX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) peers listed below that report each metric.
Financial statement data is not available for this company: its filings are not in a form the pipeline converts, so only market data is shown.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $11.21B | 6/11 |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 34.9% | 2/7 |
| Gross Margin | 18.9% | 3/9 |
| Operating Margin | 10.2% | 3/7 |
| EBT Margin | 8.0% | 5/10 |
| Tax Rate | 33.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.49x | 4/10 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.45x | 3/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.63x | 9/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.98x | 5/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| FCF/Sales | 4.8% | 3/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 9.3% | 2/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.85x | 2/10 |
| Inventory Turnover | 13.3x | 2/9 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.5x | 3/9 |
| Days Inventory | 27 days | 8/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 196M | – |
TX quarterly financials and insider trading
Ternium S.A. (TX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ternium S.A. (Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TX Ternium S.A. | ▼ | $11.21B |
| NUE Nucor Corp | ▶ | $58.15B |
| MT Arcelormittal | ▶ | $47.99B |
| STLD Steel Dynamics Inc | ▶ | $34.48B |
| TS Tenaris Sa | ▼ | $30.88B |
| CRS Carpenter Technology Corp | ▶ | $18.69B |
| CMC Commercial Metals Co | ▶ | $7.19B |
| SXC Suncoke Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $870M |
| MTUS Metallus Inc. | ▶ | $852M |
| TWI Titan International Inc | ▲ | $429M |
| ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. | ▲ | $423M |
Where TX sits on the market map
Ternium S.A. (TX) stock news
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Ternium S.A. (TX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Ternium S.A. (TX) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Ternium S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Ternium S.A. stock predictions?
For TX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 57.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Ternium S.A. forecasts updated?
Ternium S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Ternium S.A.'s industry peers?
11 issuers in our coverage, TX included, share the SEC industry code Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens). The largest are: Nucor Corp (NUE), Arcelormittal (MT), Steel Dynamics Inc (STLD), Tenaris Sa (TS), Carpenter Technology Corp (CRS), Commercial Metals Co (CMC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.