Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
On Oct. 16, 2026, UPBD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Upbound Group, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $954M. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 9 Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 1.30x is the lowest of the 8 peers that report one.
For UPBD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 51.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, UPBD included.
Follow UPBD free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $954M | 8/9 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.04x | 4/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.30x | 8/8 |
| Dividend Yield | 9.47% | – |
| EPS | $1.36 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $12.58 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $81.38 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.59 | – |
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 12.3% | 4/5 |
| ROA | 2.9% | – |
| Gross Margin | 49.1% | 2/5 |
| Operating Margin | 5.1% | 5/6 |
| Net Margin | 1.9% | 5/5 |
| EBT Margin | 2.8% | 6/7 |
| Tax Rate | 30.6% | – |
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.23x | 3/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.23x | 2/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.1x | 5/7 |
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $454M | 3/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | $384M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$70M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 139.2% | 1/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 193.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 8.1% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.5% | – |
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.53x | 2/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 23.1x | 1/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 15.9x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 16 days | 5/5 |
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.74B | 2/6 |
| Operating Income | $242M | 2/6 |
| Net Income | $90M | 4/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.41B | 2/5 |
| Metric | UPBD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.55 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 114.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 58M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -11.5% | 4/5 |
| EPS Growth | -26.9% | 4/5 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $105M | 3.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $205M | 6.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.37B | 76.4% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Upbound Group, Inc. (Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| UPBD Upbound Group, Inc. | ▶ | $954M |
| URI United Rentals, Inc. | ▼ | $65.52B |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $31.15B |
| AER Aercap Holdings N.V. | ▼ | $24.31B |
| EQPT Equipmentshare.Com Inc | ▲ | $3.44B |
| MGRC Mcgrath Rentcorp | ▼ | $2.76B |
| CTOS Custom Truck One Source, Inc. | ▶ | $2.07B |
| PRG Prog Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.23B |
| KPLT Katapult Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $562M |
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q3 2025 Upbound Group, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I ...
Upbound Group, Inc. ("Upbound" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: UPBD), a technology and data-driven leader in accessible and inclusive financial solutions that address the evolving needs and aspirations of ...
About Upbound Group, Inc. Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: UPBD), is a technology and data-driven leader in accessible and inclusive financial solutions that address the evolving needs and aspirations of ...
On Oct. 16, 2026, UPBD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
For UPBD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 51.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Upbound Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
9 issuers in our coverage, UPBD included, share the SEC industry code Services-Equipment Rental & Leasing, NEC. The largest are: United Rentals, Inc. (URI), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB), Aercap Holdings N.V. (AER), Equipmentshare.Com Inc (EQPT), Mcgrath Rentcorp (MGRC), Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (CTOS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Signals, companies, plans: answered from live data.
I read Intratio's daily model signals, company data and your account to answer in seconds, in your language.