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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 59.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $29.46B large-cap
Summary

Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Williams Sonoma Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Williams Sonoma Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $29.46B.

For WSM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 59.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WSM included.

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Price

WSM price chart and AI forecast

WSM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How WSM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-02

Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Home Furniture, Furnishings & Equipment Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $29.46B – –
P/E Ratio 25.63x – –
P/B Ratio 13.76x – –
Dividend Yield 1.14% – –
EPS $9.76 – –
Book Value/Share $18.18 – –
Revenue/Share $67.97 – –
FCF/Share $11.73 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
ROE 55.1% – –
ROA 21.4% – –
ROIC 42.6% – –
Gross Margin 35.1% – –
Operating Margin 19.2% – –
Net Margin 14.7% – –
EBT Margin 19.7% – –
Tax Rate 25.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.45x – –
Quick Ratio 0.68x – –
D/E Ratio 1.57x – –
Financial Leverage 2.57x – –
Interest Coverage 690.5x – –
Working Capital $848M – –

Cash Flow

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.65B – –
Free Cash Flow $1.38B – –
Capital Spending -$265M – –
OCF Growth YoY 39.4% – –
FCF Growth YoY 53.3% – –
FCF/Sales 17.3% – –
CapEx/Sales 3.3% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.45x – –
Receivables Turnover 54.8x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.1x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 7 days – –
Days Inventory 102 days – –
Payables Period 49 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 59 days – –

Income Statement

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $8.01B – –
Operating Income $1.54B – –
Net Income $1.18B – –
SG&A Expense $2.24B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $5.19B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricWSMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.85 – –
Payout Ratio 29.2% – –
Shares Outstanding 118M – –
Net Income Growth 6.0% – –
EPS Growth 10.1% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.75B49.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.03B18.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$146M2.7% of assets
Inventory$1.45B26.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.37B61.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.19B21.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

WSM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Home Furniture, Furnishings & Equipment Stores

Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Williams Sonoma Inc (Retail-Home Furniture, Furnishings & Equipment Stores): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
WSM Williams Sonoma Inc ▼ $29.46B 25.6x 13.8x
TTSH Tile Shop Holdings, Inc. ▲ $83M – 1.0x

Where WSM sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Home Furniture, Furnishings & Equipment Stores
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News

Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) stock news

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FAQ

Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Williams Sonoma Inc (WSM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Williams Sonoma Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Williams Sonoma Inc stock predictions?

For WSM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 59.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Williams Sonoma Inc forecasts updated?

Williams Sonoma Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Williams Sonoma Inc's industry peers?

2 issuers in our coverage, WSM included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Home Furniture, Furnishings & Equipment Stores. The largest are: Tile Shop Holdings, Inc. (TTSH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.