Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Xcel Energy Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Xcel Energy Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $47.67B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 16 Electric & Other Services Combined issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For XEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How XEL ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electric & Other Services Combined peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | XEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $47.67B | 2/16 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.20x | 5/15 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.98x | 8/16 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.86% | 10/12 |
| EPS | $3.60 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $38.51 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-12.31 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | XEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 9.3% | 9/15 |
| ROA | 2.6% | 9/16 |
| ROIC | 3.5% | 16/17 |
| Tax Rate | -11.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | XEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.70x | 8/17 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.62x | 5/9 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.62x | 5/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.62x | 8/16 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.6x | 9/17 |
| Working Capital | -$2.59B | 16/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | XEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.77B | 4/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$7.69B | 10/10 |
| Capital Spending | -$12.46B | 9/10 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 5.8% | 9/15 |
Income Statement
| Metric | XEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | $2.79B | 6/17 |
| Net Income | $2.23B | 4/16 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | XEL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.19 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 60.8% | 7/12 |
| Shares Outstanding | 625M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 7.7% | 8/15 |
| EPS Growth | -1.4% | 11/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $6.08B | 7.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2.01B | 2.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $1.25B | 1.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $745M | 0.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $63.11B | 72.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $6.35B | 7.3% of assets |
XEL quarterly financials and insider trading
Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Xcel Energy Inc (Electric & Other Services Combined): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| XEL Xcel Energy Inc | ▼ | $47.67B |
| DUK Duke Energy Corp | ▼ | $94.46B |
| EXC Exelon Corp | ▼ | $43.95B |
| ED Consolidated Edison Inc | ▼ | $40.52B |
| PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Inc | ▼ | $35.63B |
| WEC Wec Energy Group, Inc. | ▼ | $35.42B |
| AEE Ameren Corp | ▼ | $29.37B |
| PCG Pg&E Corp | ▶ | $28.83B |
| CMS Cms Energy Corp | ▼ | $21.54B |
| NI Nisource Inc. | ▼ | $20.47B |
| EVRG Evergy, Inc. | ▼ | $19.18B |
| LNT Alliant Energy Corp | ▼ | $17.56B |
| AVA Avista Corp | ▼ | $3.07B |
| UTL Unitil Corp | ▼ | $986M |
| GNE Genie Energy Ltd. | ▼ | $434M |
| GRDX Gridai Technologies Corp. | ▼ | $30M |
| CPWR Ocean Thermal Energy Corp | ▲ | N/A |
Where XEL sits on the market map
Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) stock news
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Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Xcel Energy Inc (XEL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Xcel Energy Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Xcel Energy Inc stock predictions?
For XEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -3.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Xcel Energy Inc forecasts updated?
Xcel Energy Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Xcel Energy Inc's industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, XEL included, share the SEC industry code Electric & Other Services Combined. The largest are: Duke Energy Corp (DUK), Exelon Corp (EXC), Consolidated Edison Inc (ED), Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG), Wec Energy Group, Inc. (WEC), Ameren Corp (AEE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.