AGNC Investment to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?
AGNC to report Q3 earnings Oct. 19, with higher NII potentially offset by rising funding costs and MBS valuation pressures.
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
17.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$10.34B
large-cap · #33 of 60 peers
Summary
Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Agnc Investment Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Agnc Investment Corp. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.34B. It ranks number 33 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 4.04x is the lowest of the 55 peers that report one. Its Dividend Yield of 16.96% is the highest of the 55 peers that report one.
For AGNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AGNC included.
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AGNC price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How AGNC ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AGNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10.34B | 33/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 4.04x | 55/55 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.82x | 52/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 16.96% | 1/55 |
| EPS | $2.16 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AGNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 18.1% | 9/52 |
| ROA | 1.9% | 44/55 |
Financial Health
| Metric | AGNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 8.71x | 2/57 |
| Financial Leverage | 9.71x | 2/56 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AGNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $886M | 30/60 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 102.3% | 1/59 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AGNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $2.27B | 5/55 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AGNC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.48 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 68.5% | 46/50 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1185M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 499.5% | 4/49 |
| EPS Growth | 148.3% | 7/54 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $457M | 0.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $109.22B | 89.7% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
AGNC quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Real Estate Investment Trusts
Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Agnc Investment Corp. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AGNC Agnc Investment Corp. | ▼ | $10.34B |
| WELL Welltower Inc. | ▼ | $161.03B |
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | ▶ | $116.81B |
| EQIX Equinix Inc | ▼ | $97.29B |
| AMT American Tower Corp /Ma/ | ▼ | $86.33B |
| SPG Simon Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $65.81B |
| DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $60.44B |
| O Realty Income Corp | ▶ | $53.06B |
| PSA Public Storage | ▼ | $52.39B |
| VMRK Vivmark Residential | ▼ | $47.34B |
| VTR Ventas, Inc. | ▶ | $43.53B |
| CCI Crown Castle Inc. | ▲ | $35.00B |
| IRM Iron Mountain Inc | ▼ | $33.49B |
| EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. | ▼ | $30.74B |
| VICI Vici Properties Inc. | ▼ | $25.83B |
| SBAC Sba Communications Corp | ▼ | $19.49B |
| ESS Essex Property Trust, Inc. | ▼ | $17.32B |
| HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▶ | $16.65B |
| KIM Kimco Realty Corp | ▼ | $15.37B |
| LAMR Lamar Advertising Co/New | ▼ | $15.20B |
| WPC W. P. Carey Inc. | ▶ | $14.68B |
| SUI Sun Communities Inc | ▼ | $14.60B |
| WY Weyerhaeuser Co | ▶ | $13.97B |
| OHI Omega Healthcare Investors Inc | ▶ | $13.83B |
| NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc | ▼ | $13.74B |
| MAA Mid America Apartment Communities Inc. | ▼ | $13.65B |
| REG Regency Centers Corp | ▼ | $13.40B |
| AHR American Healthcare Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $12.41B |
| ELS Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc | ▼ | $11.87B |
| GLPI Gaming & Leisure Properties, Inc. | ▼ | $11.75B |
| UDR Udr, Inc. | ▼ | $11.30B |
| AMH American Homes 4 Rent | ▼ | $11.26B |
| EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc | ▼ | $10.56B |
| BXP Bxp, Inc. | ▶ | $9.45B |
| FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust | ▼ | $9.18B |
| CUBE Cubesmart | ▶ | $8.89B |
| CTRE Caretrust Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $8.64B |
| BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. | ▼ | $8.49B |
| REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. | ▼ | $8.21B |
| NNN Nnn Reit, Inc. | ▼ | $7.97B |
| RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | ▶ | $7.92B |
| FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc | ▶ | $7.79B |
| ADC Agree Realty Corp | ▼ | $7.65B |
| LINE Lineage, Inc. | ▼ | $7.58B |
| ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | ▲ | $7.25B |
| STAG Stag Industrial, Inc. | ▶ | $6.69B |
| MAC Macerich Co | ▶ | $6.51B |
| VNO Vornado Realty Trust | ▶ | $6.20B |
| HR Healthcare Realty Trust Inc | ▼ | $6.06B |
| RYN Rayonier Inc | ▲ | $5.68B |
| EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. | ▶ | $5.64B |
| OUT Outfront Media Inc. | ▼ | $5.35B |
| KRG Kite Realty Group Trust | ▼ | $5.06B |
| PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. | ▼ | $4.94B |
| SBRA Sabra Health Care Reit, Inc. | ▶ | $4.93B |
| RITM Rithm Capital Corp. | ▶ | $4.84B |
| STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. | ▲ | $4.67B |
| CUZ Cousins Properties Inc | ▶ | $4.55B |
| EPR Epr Properties | ▼ | $4.27B |
| KRC Kilroy Realty Corp | ▶ | $4.12B |
Where AGNC sits on the market map
Real Estate & Construction · Real Estate Investment Trusts
News
Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock news
AGNC Investment (AGNC) Is the Most Expensive Mortgage REIT on Book Value. Why?
AGNC Investment Corp. (NASDAQ:AGNC) closed at $8.61 on3. The stock has returned roughly -19% over the last six months, compared to a 21.5% return for the Insider Monkey Billionaire Index and 14.0% for ...
If you’d invested $10,000 in AGNC today, here’s the monthly income you’d collect at its now much higher 16.5% yield
AGNC's dividend yield has risen due to the sharp decline in its stock price.
FAQ
Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Agnc Investment Corp. (AGNC) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Agnc Investment Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Agnc Investment Corp. stock predictions?
For AGNC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Agnc Investment Corp. forecasts updated?
Agnc Investment Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Agnc Investment Corp.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, AGNC included, share the SEC industry code Real Estate Investment Trusts. The largest are: Welltower Inc. (WELL), Prologis, Inc. (PLD), Equinix Inc (EQIX), American Tower Corp /Ma/ (AMT), Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.