Can Argan Keep Its Earnings Streak Alive as Backlog Slips Further?
AGX's revenues surge 61.5% and margins expand, but a shrinking backlog raises questions about future growth despite strong ...
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores Argan Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Argan Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.89B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 13 Construction - Special Trade Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 7.68x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of 16.5% is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.
For AGX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AGX included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction - Special Trade Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.89B | 1/13 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.95x | 4/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 7.68x | 1/8 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.72% | – |
| EPS | $12.64 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $36.13 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $84.69 | – |
| FCF/Share | $38.90 | – |
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 39.0% | 1/6 |
| ROA | 14.1% | 1/7 |
| ROIC | 34.9% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 20.9% | 6/10 |
| Operating Margin | 15.2% | 1/12 |
| Net Margin | 16.5% | 1/8 |
| EBT Margin | 18.0% | 1/12 |
| Tax Rate | 16.9% | – |
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.50x | 7/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.76x | 8/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.76x | 8/9 |
| Working Capital | $440M | 3/10 |
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $555M | 1/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | $546M | 1/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$9M | 4/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 279.5% | 1/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 92.8% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 45.9% | 1/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 4/6 |
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.85x | 5/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.6x | 4/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 52.1x | 2/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 55 days | 4/7 |
| Payables Period | 45 days | 5/9 |
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.19B | 3/7 |
| Operating Income | $182M | 2/12 |
| Net Income | $198M | 2/8 |
| SG&A Expense | $65M | 5/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $940M | 3/11 |
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.00 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 15.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 14M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 64.9% | – |
| EPS Growth | 41.4% | – |
| Total Current Assets | $1.32B | 94.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $364M | 26.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $180M | 12.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $894M | 63.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $763M | 54.5% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Argan Inc (Construction - Special Trade Contractors): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AGX Argan Inc | $3.89B | |
| LGN Legence Corp. | $3.02B | |
| RUN Sunrun Inc. | $2.40B | |
| AMRC Ameresco, Inc. | $1.15B | |
| LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc. | $637M | |
| BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. | $479M | |
| MTRX Matrix Service Co | $273M | |
| CNTM Connectm Technology Solutions, Inc. | $23M | |
| SMXT Solarmax Technology, Inc. | $18M | |
| PMA Pma Graphene Technology Group Inc. | $16M | |
| ZEO Zeo Energy Corp. | $12M | |
| PTOS P2 Solar, Inc. | $1M | |
| CETX Cemtrex Inc | $1M |
AGX's revenues surge 61.5% and margins expand, but a shrinking backlog raises questions about future growth despite strong ...
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Our AI scores Argan Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For AGX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Argan Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
13 issuers in our coverage, AGX included, share the SEC industry code Construction - Special Trade Contractors. The largest are: Legence Corp. (LGN), Sunrun Inc. (RUN), Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC), Limbach Holdings, Inc. (LMB), Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP), Matrix Service Co (MTRX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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