Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
On Oct. 16, 2026, RUN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Sunrun Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.84B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 14 Construction - Special Trade Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 5.20x is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For RUN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 52.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RUN included.
Follow RUN free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction - Special Trade Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.84B | 4/14 |
| P/E Ratio | 7.21x | 5/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.53x | 8/9 |
| EPS | $1.06 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $14.49 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $14.43 | – |
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 0.4% | 6/9 |
| Operating Margin | 2.7% | 5/13 |
| EBT Margin | -26.4% | 9/13 |
| Tax Rate | -4.5% | – |
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.42x | 7/10 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.00x | 6/8 |
| D/E Ratio | 5.20x | 1/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 6.69x | 1/9 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.2x | 4/10 |
| Working Capital | $643M | 2/10 |
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$200M | 13/13 |
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.15x | 7/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 14.8x | 1/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 56.6x | 1/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 25 days | 6/6 |
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.48B | 2/7 |
| Operating Income | $92M | 3/13 |
| R&D Expense | $38M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $1.31B | 1/10 |
| Metric | RUN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 241M | – |
| Total Current Assets | $2.17B | 9.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.14B | 4.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $235M | 1.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $650M | 2.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $18.15B | 77.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.20B | 5.1% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sunrun Inc. (Construction - Special Trade Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RUN Sunrun Inc. | ▶ | $1.84B |
| LGN Legence Corp. | ▲ | $4.90B |
| AGX Argan Inc | ▶ | $4.85B |
| FACT Sunpower Inc. | ▼ | $2.24B |
| AMRC Ameresco, Inc. | ▶ | $1.03B |
| LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $570M |
| BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $458M |
| MTRX Matrix Service Co | ▶ | $287M |
| CNTM Connectm Technology Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $26M |
| SMXT Solarmax Technology, Inc. | ▼ | $23M |
| PMA Pma Graphene Technology Group Inc. | ▶ | $16M |
| ZEO Zeo Energy Corp. | ▼ | $16M |
| CETX Cemtrex Inc | ▼ | $3M |
| PTOS P2 Solar, Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
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Citi lowered its price target on Sunrun Inc. (NASDAQ:RUN) from $26 to $20 on April 21, 2026. The firm maintained a Buy rating on the company's stock. The adjustment was part of the revision of ...
Sunrun Inc RUN shares are trading higher on Monday after the company, along with Tesla, Inc. TSLA, said their home battery fleets supplied more than 580 megawatts of peak power to California’s grid on ...
On Oct. 16, 2026, RUN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
For RUN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 52.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Sunrun Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
14 issuers in our coverage, RUN included, share the SEC industry code Construction - Special Trade Contractors. The largest are: Legence Corp. (LGN), Argan Inc (AGX), Sunpower Inc. (FACT), Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC), Limbach Holdings, Inc. (LMB), Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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