Argan Inc (AGX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Argan Inc (AGX) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AGX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Argan Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.85B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 14 Construction - Special Trade Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 9.57x is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For AGX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AGX ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Argan Inc (AGX) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction - Special Trade Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.85B | 1/14 |
| P/E Ratio | 27.34x | 3/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.57x | 1/9 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.58% | – |
| EPS | $12.64 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $36.13 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $84.69 | – |
| FCF/Share | $38.90 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 39.0% | – |
| ROA | 14.1% | 1/6 |
| ROIC | 34.9% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 20.9% | 7/11 |
| Operating Margin | 15.2% | 1/13 |
| Net Margin | 16.5% | 1/7 |
| EBT Margin | 18.0% | 1/13 |
| Tax Rate | 16.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.50x | 5/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.76x | 7/9 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.76x | 7/9 |
| Working Capital | $440M | 3/10 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $555M | 1/13 |
| Free Cash Flow | $546M | 1/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$9M | 4/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 279.5% | 1/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 92.8% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 45.9% | 1/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.8% | 4/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.85x | 5/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.6x | 4/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 52.1x | 2/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 55 days | 3/6 |
| Payables Period | 45 days | 6/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.19B | 3/7 |
| Operating Income | $182M | 1/13 |
| Net Income | $198M | 1/7 |
| SG&A Expense | $65M | 5/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $940M | 3/12 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AGX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.00 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 15.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 14M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 64.9% | – |
| EPS Growth | 41.4% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.32B | 94.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $364M | 26.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $180M | 12.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $894M | 63.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $763M | 54.5% of assets |
AGX quarterly financials and insider trading
Argan Inc (AGX) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Argan Inc (Construction - Special Trade Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AGX Argan Inc | ▶ | $4.85B |
| LGN Legence Corp. | ▲ | $4.70B |
| FACT Sunpower Inc. | ▼ | $2.24B |
| RUN Sunrun Inc. | ▲ | $1.76B |
| AMRC Ameresco, Inc. | ▶ | $1.03B |
| LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $581M |
| BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $458M |
| MTRX Matrix Service Co | ▼ | $283M |
| CNTM Connectm Technology Solutions, Inc. | ▶ | $25M |
| SMXT Solarmax Technology, Inc. | ▼ | $22M |
| PMA Pma Graphene Technology Group Inc. | ▶ | $16M |
| ZEO Zeo Energy Corp. | ▼ | $15M |
| CETX Cemtrex Inc | ▼ | $3M |
| PTOS P2 Solar, Inc. | ▼ | $1M |
Where AGX sits on the market map
Argan Inc (AGX) stock news
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Argan Inc (AGX) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Argan Inc (AGX) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AGX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Argan Inc stock predictions?
For AGX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Argan Inc forecasts updated?
Argan Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Argan Inc's industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, AGX included, share the SEC industry code Construction - Special Trade Contractors. The largest are: Legence Corp. (LGN), Sunpower Inc. (FACT), Sunrun Inc. (RUN), Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC), Limbach Holdings, Inc. (LMB), Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.