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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.03B small-cap · #5 of 14 peers
Summary

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ameresco, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ameresco, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.03B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 14 Construction - Special Trade Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AMRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AMRC included.

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Price

AMRC price chart and AI forecast

AMRC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AMRC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Construction - Special Trade Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.03B $371M 5/14
P/E Ratio 30.95x 27.34x 2/5
P/B Ratio 0.84x 1.82x 7/9
EPS $0.63 – –
Book Value/Share $23.31 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
ROE 1.9% – –
ROA 0.5% 0.3% 3/6
ROIC 3.2% 3.1% 4/9
Gross Margin 15.9% 23.6% 9/11
Operating Margin 6.5% -1.1% 3/13
Net Margin 1.2% 0.2% 3/7
EBT Margin 1.7% -7.1% 4/13
Tax Rate -28.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.67x 1.50x 2/10
Quick Ratio 1.66x 1.27x 1/8
D/E Ratio 2.81x 2.66x 4/9
Financial Leverage 3.91x 3.79x 4/9
Working Capital $676M $63M 1/10

Cash Flow

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$81M -$1M 12/13
OCF Growth YoY -218.2% -50.0% 5/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
Inventory Turnover 127.3x 31.8x 3/7
Days Inventory 3 days 11 days 5/7
Payables Period 145 days 56 days 1/9

Income Statement

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $125M -$120K 2/13
Net Income $23M $0.00M 3/7
SG&A Expense $183M $64M 3/10
Cost of Goods Sold $1.61B $180M 2/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAMRCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 53M – –
Net Income Growth -57.9% – –
EPS Growth -38.8% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.68B35.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$138M2.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$253M5.4% of assets
Inventory$13M0.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.48B73.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$363M7.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AMRC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Construction - Special Trade Contractors

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ameresco, Inc. (Construction - Special Trade Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AMRC Ameresco, Inc. ▲ $1.03B 31.0x 0.8x
AGX Argan Inc ▶ $4.85B 27.3x 9.6x
LGN Legence Corp. ▲ $4.70B – 7.8x
FACT Sunpower Inc. ▼ $2.24B – –
RUN Sunrun Inc. ▲ $1.76B 6.9x 0.5x
LMB Limbach Holdings, Inc. ▶ $581M 16.4x 2.9x
BBCP Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. ▶ $458M 75.7x 1.7x
MTRX Matrix Service Co ▶ $283M – 2.0x
CNTM Connectm Technology Solutions, Inc. ▼ $25M – 1.8x
SMXT Solarmax Technology, Inc. ▼ $22M – –
PMA Pma Graphene Technology Group Inc. ▶ $16M – –
ZEO Zeo Energy Corp. ▼ $15M – –
CETX Cemtrex Inc ▶ $3M – 0.1x
PTOS P2 Solar, Inc. ▼ $1M – –

Where AMRC sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Construction - Special Trade Contractors
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News

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) stock news

source: Seeking Alpha

Thank you for standing by. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Ameresco, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. I would now like to turn ...

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FAQ

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ameresco, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ameresco, Inc. stock predictions?

For AMRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ameresco, Inc. forecasts updated?

Ameresco, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ameresco, Inc.'s industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, AMRC included, share the SEC industry code Construction - Special Trade Contractors. The largest are: Argan Inc (AGX), Legence Corp. (LGN), Sunpower Inc. (FACT), Sunrun Inc. (RUN), Limbach Holdings, Inc. (LMB), Concrete Pumping Holdings, Inc. (BBCP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.