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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Autonation, Inc. (AN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 33.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $5.35B mid-cap · #8 of 18 peers
Summary

Autonation, Inc. (AN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Autonation, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Autonation, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.35B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 18 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AN included.

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Price

AN price chart and AI forecast

AN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Autonation, Inc. (AN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricANIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $5.35B $4.92B 8/18
P/E Ratio 7.50x 14.39x 11/12
P/B Ratio 2.37x 2.32x 8/16
EPS $21.57 – –
Book Value/Share $68.33 – –
Revenue/Share $830.24 – –
FCF/Share $0.37 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricANIndustry medianRank
ROE 34.3% 16.3% 4/13
ROA 5.0% 5.1% 7/11
ROIC 14.2% 14.2% 5/9
Gross Margin 17.8% 18.6% 8/14
Operating Margin 4.8% 4.3% 5/13
Net Margin 2.8% 2.8% 8/13
EBT Margin 3.5% 3.5% 9/17
Tax Rate 26.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricANIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.78x 1.02x 14/15
Quick Ratio 0.18x 0.29x 13/14
D/E Ratio 5.85x 2.20x 3/17
Financial Leverage 6.85x 3.41x 2/14
Interest Coverage 6.4x 3.9x 5/13
Working Capital -$1.35B $53M 14/14

Cash Flow

MetricANIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $293M $439M 11/17
Free Cash Flow $12M $351M 13/14
Capital Spending -$281M -$297M 7/14
FCF/Sales 0.0% 3.5% 12/13
CapEx/Sales 1.0% 1.2% 8/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricANIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.77x 1.64x 5/12
Receivables Turnover 45.7x 37.5x 5/12
Inventory Turnover 6.0x 6.2x 8/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.8x 7.3x 10/15
Days Sales Outstanding 8 days 10 days 8/12
Days Inventory 60 days 59 days 6/13
Payables Period 5 days 13 days 10/11
Cash Conversion Cycle 63 days 65 days 5/8

Income Statement

MetricANIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $27.45B $18.67B 4/15
Operating Income $1.32B $782M 4/13
Net Income $775M $617M 4/13
SG&A Expense $3.38B $2.07B 3/13
Cost of Goods Sold $22.55B $14.56B 4/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricANIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 33M – –
Net Income Growth 22.2% 10.1% 5/12
EPS Growth 35.3% -2.2% 3/11

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.85B31.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$53M0.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$600M3.9% of assets
Inventory$3.74B24.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$13.23B85.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$5.86B37.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

Autonation, Inc. (AN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Autonation, Inc. (Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AN Autonation, Inc. ▲ $5.35B 7.5x 2.4x
CVNA Carvana Co. ▲ $64.74B 41.3x 16.1x
CPRT Copart Inc ▲ $25.82B 18.0x 2.8x
CASY Caseys General Stores Inc ▶ $25.47B 33.2x 6.2x
PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc. ▶ $13.95B 15.0x 2.4x
MUSA Murphy Usa Inc. ▼ $10.07B 16.8x 12.9x
KMX Carmax Inc ▲ $7.57B 25.0x 1.2x
LAD Lithia Motors Inc ▲ $6.49B 9.7x 1.0x
RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc \Tx\ ▲ $5.29B 13.8x 2.3x
OPLN Openlane, Inc. ▼ $4.55B – 2.9x
ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc ▲ $3.05B 6.3x 0.9x
GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc ▲ $2.89B 10.0x 1.3x
SAH Sonic Automotive Inc ▲ $2.01B 10.1x 2.0x
CWH Camping World Holdings, Inc. ▲ $466M – 2.2x
KXIN Kaixin Holdings ▼ $71M – 5.4x
VRM Vroom, Inc. ▲ $46M – 0.5x
NXXT Nextnrg, Inc. ▼ $10M – –
CRMT Americas Carmart Inc ▶ $9M – –

Where AN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
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News

Autonation, Inc. (AN) stock news

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FAQ

Autonation, Inc. (AN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Autonation, Inc. (AN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Autonation, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Autonation, Inc. stock predictions?

For AN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Autonation, Inc. forecasts updated?

Autonation, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Autonation, Inc.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, AN included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations. The largest are: Carvana Co. (CVNA), Copart Inc (CPRT), Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY), Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG), Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA), Carmax Inc (KMX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.