Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Group 1 Automotive Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Group 1 Automotive Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.89B. It ranks number 12 by market capitalization among the 18 Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For GPI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GPI included.
Follow GPI freeGPI price chart and AI forecast
How GPI ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.89B | 12/18 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.99x | 9/12 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.29x | 12/16 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.89% | 5/8 |
| EPS | $24.24 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $187.67 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1858.28 | – |
| FCF/Share | $13.95 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 15.9% | 11/14 |
| Operating Margin | 4.3% | 8/13 |
| EBT Margin | 2.5% | 11/17 |
| Tax Rate | 28.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.02x | 7/15 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.25x | 9/14 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.00x | 12/17 |
| Interest Coverage | 3.9x | 7/13 |
| Working Capital | $71M | 7/14 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $439M | 9/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | $166M | 10/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$273M | 6/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -49.3% | 11/13 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -72.3% | 10/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 0.8% | 11/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.2% | 7/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Inventory Turnover | 6.8x | 5/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.1x | 9/15 |
| Days Inventory | 54 days | 9/13 |
| Payables Period | 13 days | 6/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $22.15B | 6/15 |
| Operating Income | $693M | 8/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.51B | 5/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $18.62B | 6/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GPI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.15 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 8.9% | 5/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 12M | – |
| EPS Growth | -33.3% | 9/11 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.67B | 54.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $164M | 2.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $2.76B | 41.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $4.48B | 66.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.92B | 43.4% of assets |
GPI quarterly financials and insider trading
Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Group 1 Automotive Inc (Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GPI Group 1 Automotive Inc | ▲ | $2.89B |
| CVNA Carvana Co. | ▲ | $64.74B |
| CPRT Copart Inc | ▲ | $25.82B |
| CASY Caseys General Stores Inc | ▶ | $25.47B |
| PAG Penske Automotive Group, Inc. | ▶ | $13.92B |
| MUSA Murphy Usa Inc. | ▼ | $10.01B |
| KMX Carmax Inc | ▲ | $7.47B |
| LAD Lithia Motors Inc | ▲ | $6.49B |
| AN Autonation, Inc. | ▲ | $5.35B |
| RUSHA Rush Enterprises Inc \Tx\ | ▲ | $5.24B |
| OPLN Openlane, Inc. | ▼ | $4.54B |
| ABG Asbury Automotive Group Inc | ▲ | $3.05B |
| SAH Sonic Automotive Inc | ▲ | $2.01B |
| CWH Camping World Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $466M |
| KXIN Kaixin Holdings | ▼ | $71M |
| VRM Vroom, Inc. | ▲ | $46M |
| CRMT Americas Carmart Inc | ▶ | $11M |
| NXXT Nextnrg, Inc. | ▼ | $10M |
Where GPI sits on the market map
Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) stock news
Loading...
Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Group 1 Automotive Inc (GPI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Group 1 Automotive Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Group 1 Automotive Inc stock predictions?
For GPI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Group 1 Automotive Inc forecasts updated?
Group 1 Automotive Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Group 1 Automotive Inc's industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, GPI included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations. The largest are: Carvana Co. (CVNA), Copart Inc (CPRT), Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY), Penske Automotive Group, Inc. (PAG), Murphy Usa Inc. (MUSA), Carmax Inc (KMX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.