Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Atmos Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Atmos Energy Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $28.28B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 13 Natural Gas Distribution issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 28.5% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.
For ATO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ATO ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Distribution peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $28.28B | 4/13 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.97x | 3/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.85x | 7/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.24% | 7/9 |
| EPS | $8.38 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $90.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $29.12 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-11.96 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 9.2% | 6/9 |
| ROA | 4.4% | 4/8 |
| ROIC | 6.1% | 6/10 |
| Operating Margin | 37.0% | 3/11 |
| Net Margin | 28.5% | 1/9 |
| EBT Margin | 35.6% | 2/12 |
| Tax Rate | 20.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.81x | 8/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.07x | 8/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.07x | 9/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 1.4x | 9/13 |
| Working Capital | -$344M | 9/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.02B | 4/13 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$2.02B | 8/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$4.04B | 8/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -0.6% | 7/10 |
| FCF/Sales | -41.0% | 6/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 82.1% | 1/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.16x | 7/7 |
| Receivables Turnover | 10.5x | 7/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 35 days | 1/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.92B | 4/9 |
| Operating Income | $1.82B | 4/12 |
| Net Income | $1.40B | 3/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ATO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $3.74 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 44.6% | 5/9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 169M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 21.1% | 4/8 |
| EPS Growth | 15.8% | 5/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.50B | 4.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $521M | 1.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $469M | 1.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $16.33B | 51.6% of assets |
ATO quarterly financials and insider trading
Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Atmos Energy Corp (Natural Gas Distribution): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ATO Atmos Energy Corp | ▼ | $28.28B |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | ▼ | $59.78B |
| VG Venture Global, Inc. | ▲ | $31.80B |
| CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. | ▶ | $30.77B |
| NFG National Fuel Gas Co | ▼ | $7.60B |
| NJR New Jersey Resources Corp | ▼ | $5.30B |
| SR Spire Inc | ▶ | $4.84B |
| OGS One Gas, Inc. | ▼ | $4.75B |
| EE Excelerate Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $3.76B |
| NWN Northwest Natural Holding Co | ▼ | $2.06B |
| SLNG Stabilis Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $89M |
| NFE New Fortress Energy Inc. | ▼ | $68M |
| CETY Clean Energy Technologies, Inc. | ▼ | $12M |
Where ATO sits on the market map
Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock news
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Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Atmos Energy Corp (ATO) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Atmos Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Atmos Energy Corp stock predictions?
For ATO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -15.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Atmos Energy Corp forecasts updated?
Atmos Energy Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Atmos Energy Corp's industry peers?
13 issuers in our coverage, ATO included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Distribution. The largest are: Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG), Venture Global, Inc. (VG), Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP), National Fuel Gas Co (NFG), New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR), Spire Inc (SR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.