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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

One Gas, Inc. (OGS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 1.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.75B mid-cap · #8 of 13 peers
Summary

One Gas, Inc. (OGS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks One Gas, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

One Gas, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.75B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 13 Natural Gas Distribution issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For OGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, OGS included.

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Price

OGS price chart and AI forecast

OGS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How OGS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

One Gas, Inc. (OGS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Distribution peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.75B $4.76B 8/13
P/E Ratio 16.29x 15.36x 5/10
P/B Ratio 1.34x 1.94x 10/11
Dividend Yield 3.49% 3.48% 4/9
EPS $4.64 – –
Book Value/Share $56.29 – –
FCF/Share $-2.75 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.2% 10.5% 7/9
ROA 3.3% 3.9% 5/8
ROIC 6.4% 6.3% 5/10
Tax Rate 17.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.48x 0.87x 12/13
D/E Ratio 1.49x 1.49x 6/11
Financial Leverage 2.49x 2.85x 7/10
Interest Coverage 2.7x 2.7x 7/13
Working Capital -$715M -$148M 11/13

Cash Flow

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $517M $616M 8/13
Free Cash Flow -$173M -$173M 5/9
Capital Spending -$690M -$838M 4/9
OCF Growth YoY -8.6% 15.9% 8/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
Payables Period 48 days 61 days 5/8

Income Statement

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $477M $549M 8/12
Net Income $288M $501M 8/10
Cost of Goods Sold $852M $874M 5/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricOGSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.64 – –
Payout Ratio 56.9% 44.6% 2/9
Shares Outstanding 63M – –
Net Income Growth 16.4% 18.7% 5/8
EPS Growth 10.7% 17.0% 6/8

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$662M7.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$8M0.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$251M2.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$5.27B59.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.27B14.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

OGS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Natural Gas Distribution

One Gas, Inc. (OGS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as One Gas, Inc. (Natural Gas Distribution): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
OGS One Gas, Inc. ▼ $4.75B 16.3x 1.3x
LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. ▼ $59.78B 21.8x 10.5x
VG Venture Global, Inc. ▲ $31.25B 10.2x 3.7x
CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. ▶ $30.77B 9.8x –
ATO Atmos Energy Corp ▼ $28.28B 20.0x 1.9x
NFG National Fuel Gas Co ▼ $7.60B 10.4x 1.9x
NJR New Jersey Resources Corp ▼ $5.30B 14.4x 2.0x
SR Spire Inc ▶ $4.76B 14.3x 1.4x
EE Excelerate Energy, Inc. ▶ $3.76B 22.1x 5.5x
NWN Northwest Natural Holding Co ▼ $2.06B 16.4x 1.3x
SLNG Stabilis Solutions, Inc. ▲ $87M – 1.5x
NFE New Fortress Energy Inc. ▼ $68M – –
CETY Clean Energy Technologies, Inc. ▼ $12M – 2.0x

Where OGS sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Natural Gas Distribution
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News

One Gas, Inc. (OGS) stock news

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FAQ

One Gas, Inc. (OGS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the One Gas, Inc. (OGS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks One Gas, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are One Gas, Inc. stock predictions?

For OGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are One Gas, Inc. forecasts updated?

One Gas, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are One Gas, Inc.'s industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, OGS included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Distribution. The largest are: Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG), Venture Global, Inc. (VG), Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP), Atmos Energy Corp (ATO), National Fuel Gas Co (NFG), New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.