Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores National Fuel Gas Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
National Fuel Gas Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.98B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 13 Natural Gas Distribution issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 3.20x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
For NFG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NFG included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Distribution peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $6.98B | 5/13 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.55x | 9/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.78x | 6/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.84% | 6/9 |
| EPS | $7.69 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $41.28 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $26.45 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.34 | – |
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 17.2% | 3/9 |
| ROA | 6.5% | 1/8 |
| ROIC | 10.2% | 2/10 |
| Gross Margin | 87.7% | 1/7 |
| Operating Margin | 40.3% | 1/11 |
| Net Margin | 26.9% | 2/9 |
| EBT Margin | 36.0% | 1/12 |
| Tax Rate | 25.4% | – |
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.20x | 1/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 3.10x | 1/9 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.75x | 10/11 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.66x | 6/10 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.3x | 4/13 |
| Working Capital | $1.11B | 1/13 |
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.27B | 5/13 |
| Free Cash Flow | $222M | 3/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$1.05B | 6/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 20.0% | 5/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 19.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 8.8% | 4/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 41.8% | 3/7 |
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.24x | 5/7 |
| Inventory Turnover | 6.0x | 6/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.3x | 6/7 |
| Days Inventory | 61 days | 2/7 |
| Payables Period | 173 days | 3/8 |
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.51B | 6/9 |
| Operating Income | $1.01B | 5/12 |
| Net Income | $675M | 4/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $308M | 6/8 |
| Metric | NFG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.09 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 27.2% | 7/9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 95M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 177.3% | 1/8 |
| EPS Growth | 249.6% | 1/8 |
| Total Current Assets | $1.61B | 15.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.24B | 11.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $51M | 0.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.96B | 28.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $358M | 3.4% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Fuel Gas Co (Natural Gas Distribution): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NFG National Fuel Gas Co | $6.98B | |
| LNG Cheniere Energy, Inc. | $56.76B | |
| ATO Atmos Energy Corp | $29.27B | |
| VG Venture Global, Inc. | $28.83B | |
| CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. | $27.77B | |
| NJR New Jersey Resources Corp | $5.55B | |
| SR Spire Inc | $5.24B | |
| OGS One Gas, Inc. | $5.14B | |
| EE Excelerate Energy, Inc. | $4.01B | |
| NWN Northwest Natural Holding Co | $2.18B | |
| SLNG Stabilis Solutions, Inc. | $69M | |
| NFE New Fortress Energy Inc. | $63M | |
| CETY Clean Energy Technologies, Inc. | $10M |
WILLIAMSVILLE, N.Y. (AP) — WILLIAMSVILLE, N.Y. (AP) — National Fuel Gas Co. (NFG) on Wednesday reported fiscal fourth-quarter profit of $97.5 million. On a per-share basis, the Williamsville, New York ...
<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> National Fuel Gas NFG reported fourth-quarter financial results on Thursday. The transcript from ...
National Fuel Gas Co. ( NFG ), a natural gas utility and energy company, on Wednesday announced plans to separate its Integrated Upstream and Gathering business into an independent, publicly traded ...
Our AI scores National Fuel Gas Co every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For NFG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
National Fuel Gas Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
13 issuers in our coverage, NFG included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Distribution. The largest are: Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG), Atmos Energy Corp (ATO), Venture Global, Inc. (VG), Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP), New Jersey Resources Corp (NJR), Spire Inc (SR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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