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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 4.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $641M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Bar Harbor Bankshares outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Bar Harbor Bankshares is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $641M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BHB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

BHB price chart and AI forecast

BHB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BHB ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $641M $4.06B 60/60
P/E Ratio 13.55x 11.91x 21/59
P/B Ratio 1.17x 1.24x 33/57
Dividend Yield 3.41% 2.70% 9/51
EPS $2.82 – –
Book Value/Share $32.78 – –
Revenue/Share $11.19 – –
FCF/Share $3.41 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.0% 10.3% 41/52
ROA 1.0% 1.2% 37/50
Net Margin 26.3% 31.4% 42/53
EBT Margin 33.1% 40.0% 47/58
Tax Rate 20.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 7.63x 7.32x 27/59
Financial Leverage 8.63x 8.32x 25/55

Cash Flow

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $64M $432M 55/59
Free Cash Flow $57M $325M 42/45
Capital Spending -$7M -$18M 6/45
OCF Growth YoY 24.8% 17.9% 24/54
FCF Growth YoY 24.6% 18.5% 18/40
FCF/Sales 30.5% 34.3% 31/44
CapEx/Sales 3.7% 2.1% 8/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 9/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.1x 5.5x 45/55

Income Statement

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $188M $1.10B 56/57
Net Income $49M $347M 53/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBHBIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.30 – –
Payout Ratio 46.1% 33.7% 11/51
Shares Outstanding 17M – –
Net Income Growth 25.0% 21.4% 24/52
EPS Growth 9.7% 17.5% 39/57

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$104M2.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.19B88.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BHB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bar Harbor Bankshares (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BHB Bar Harbor Bankshares ▲ $641M 13.6x 1.2x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia ▼ $113.24B 11.9x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft ▼ $61.98B 9.2x –
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp ▶ $45.68B 14.5x 1.3x
STT State Street Corp ▶ $45.52B 14.6x 1.6x
BBD Bank Bradesco ▶ $41.97B – –
MTB M&T Bank Corp ▶ $31.09B 11.4x 1.1x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp ▲ $30.29B 18.5x 2.3x
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri ▲ $26.69B 11.8x 1.0x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ ▶ $23.98B 11.4x 1.1x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc ▼ $17.38B 12.2x 1.9x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. ▶ $11.46B 15.0x 0.7x
BPOP Popular, Inc. ▼ $10.13B 10.8x 1.6x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp ▼ $9.90B 9.8x 1.1x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp ▶ $9.72B 11.6x 1.3x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc ▶ $8.15B 11.8x 1.0x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation ▶ $8.13B 8.4x 1.0x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. ▶ $8.05B 12.4x 1.1x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ $7.99B 13.9x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv ▶ $6.36B 13.9x 1.2x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp ▶ $5.86B 16.2x 1.3x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc ▶ $5.84B 12.2x 1.3x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $5.71B 19.1x 1.3x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp ▶ $5.47B 10.5x 1.0x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp ▼ $5.44B 12.6x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp ▶ $5.35B 14.4x 1.3x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc ▶ $4.37B 16.9x 4.2x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $4.30B 6.7x 2.2x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp ▶ $4.19B 10.2x 1.2x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ ▶ $4.18B 12.1x 2.1x
UCB United Community Banks Inc ▶ $4.11B 11.6x 1.1x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp ▶ $4.00B 9.8x 1.3x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx ▶ $3.96B 10.6x 1.1x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp ▶ $3.85B 15.2x 1.2x
INDB Independent Bank Corp ▶ $3.78B 14.4x 1.1x
RNST Renasant Corp ▶ $3.65B 13.3x 0.9x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc ▶ $3.32B 11.2x 1.0x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp ▶ $3.18B 8.2x 7.9x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida ▶ $3.15B 20.1x 1.2x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. ▶ $3.04B 11.2x 1.1x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp ▶ $2.65B 10.6x 1.4x
FBK Fb Financial Corp ▶ $2.58B 11.2x 1.3x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.53B 8.8x 1.2x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ ▶ $2.50B 14.7x 1.5x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ ▶ $2.43B 17.9x 1.0x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.38B 15.3x 1.9x
BANR Banner Corp ▶ $2.30B 11.2x 3.4x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp ▶ $2.24B 8.3x 0.9x
OFG Ofg Bancorp ▼ $2.22B 10.4x 1.6x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp ▶ $2.17B 11.9x 1.1x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. ▶ $2.11B 13.7x 1.0x
SRCE 1st Source Corp ▼ $2.07B 12.3x 1.6x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.88B 15.4x 1.6x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ ▶ $1.83B 14.3x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc ▶ $1.72B 13.3x 1.2x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.68B 11.9x 1.3x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / ▶ $1.66B 10.5x 1.2x
CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.65B 10.3x 1.0x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc ▶ $1.62B 11.7x 1.4x
LOB Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $1.62B 27.9x 1.2x

Where BHB sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) stock news

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FAQ

Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bar Harbor Bankshares (BHB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Bar Harbor Bankshares outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Bar Harbor Bankshares stock predictions?

For BHB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bar Harbor Bankshares forecasts updated?

Bar Harbor Bankshares forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Bar Harbor Bankshares's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, BHB included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), Bank Bradesco (BBD), M&T Bank Corp (MTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.