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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

M&T Bank Corp (MTB) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 25.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $31.74B large-cap · #5 of 60 peers
Summary

M&T Bank Corp (MTB) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores M&T Bank Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

M&T Bank Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $31.74B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MTB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MTB included.

Price

MTB price chart and AI forecast

MTB
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How MTB ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

M&T Bank Corp (MTB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $31.74B $4.29B 5/60
P/E Ratio 11.50x 11.91x 38/58
P/B Ratio 1.13x 1.31x 44/57
Dividend Yield 2.80% 2.62% 20/51
EPS $19.11 – –
Book Value/Share $194.98 – –
Revenue/Share $65.53 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
ROE 10.7% 10.7% 27/55
ROA 1.4% 1.2% 19/52
Net Margin 31.9% 31.5% 25/56
EBT Margin 41.3% 39.8% 26/57
Tax Rate 22.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 6.83x 7.37x 38/59
Financial Leverage 7.83x 8.30x 34/54

Cash Flow

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $4.06B $420M 3/58
OCF Growth YoY -2.4% 28.1% 44/55

Operational Efficiency

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 11/52
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.5x 5.5x 27/55

Income Statement

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.46B $1.11B 6/57
Net Income $3.02B $343M 4/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMTBIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $6.16 – –
Payout Ratio 32.2% 29.6% 25/51
Shares Outstanding 144M – –
Net Income Growth 17.1% 19.7% 31/55
EPS Growth 17.6% 19.5% 31/56

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$16.14B7.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$192.35B87.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MTB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

M&T Bank Corp (MTB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as M&T Bank Corp (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MTB M&T Bank Corp $31.74B 11.5x 1.1x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia $113.35B 11.9x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft $66.30B 9.8x –
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp $48.10B 15.3x 1.4x
STT State Street Corp $45.05B 13.5x 1.6x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp $31.29B 13.6x 2.3x
BBD Bank Bradesco $26.92B – –
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri $26.51B 11.0x 1.1x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ $25.68B 11.7x 1.2x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc $17.65B 12.3x 2.0x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. $11.61B 8.3x 0.8x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp $10.24B 11.6x 1.4x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp $10.07B 10.1x 1.1x
BPOP Popular, Inc. $9.98B 10.6x 1.6x
CBC Central Bancompany, Inc. $9.04B – 2.3x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc $8.64B 12.5x 1.0x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. $8.62B 11.4x 1.2x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation $8.16B 8.4x 1.1x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ $7.89B 13.7x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv $6.59B 14.4x 1.2x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. $6.27B 16.2x 1.4x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc $5.97B 9.9x 1.3x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp $5.73B 16.3x 1.4x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp $5.64B 10.9x 1.0x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp $5.62B 11.4x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp $5.49B 14.3x 1.3x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. $4.49B 13.1x 2.2x
UCB United Community Banks Inc $4.46B 34.3x 1.3x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc $4.36B 15.8x 4.1x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx $4.29B 11.6x 1.2x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp $4.28B 10.0x 1.4x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp $4.20B 10.0x 1.3x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp $4.00B 14.4x 1.3x
INDB Independent Bank Corp $4.00B 15.3x 1.1x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ $3.97B 9.4x 2.1x
RNST Renasant Corp $3.63B 12.3x 1.0x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc $3.60B 12.3x 1.1x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp $3.26B 12.1x 8.1x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida $3.25B 19.7x 1.3x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. $3.04B 11.6x 1.1x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. $2.86B 9.9x 1.3x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp $2.73B 10.5x 1.5x
FBK Fb Financial Corp $2.71B 9.9x 1.4x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ $2.67B 13.3x 1.6x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. $2.46B 15.3x 1.9x
BANR Banner Corp $2.38B 11.9x 3.6x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp $2.38B 7.4x 1.0x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ $2.36B 13.1x 1.1x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp $2.21B 12.5x 1.2x
OFG Ofg Bancorp $2.15B 9.7x 1.6x
SRCE 1st Source Corp $2.10B 12.0x 1.6x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. $2.07B 15.2x 1.0x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. $1.88B 11.9x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc $1.79B 13.2x 1.3x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ $1.78B 14.0x 1.5x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. $1.72B 11.7x 1.4x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / $1.68B 10.6x 1.3x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc $1.65B 11.9x 1.4x
OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc. $1.64B 11.0x 1.3x
CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. $1.63B 14.5x 1.0x

Where MTB sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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FAQ

M&T Bank Corp (MTB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the M&T Bank Corp (MTB) stock forecast?

Our AI scores M&T Bank Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are M&T Bank Corp stock predictions?

For MTB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are M&T Bank Corp forecasts updated?

M&T Bank Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are M&T Bank Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MTB included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), Northern Trust Corp (NTRS), Bank Bradesco (BBD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.