Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Bank Of Nova Scotia outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Bank Of Nova Scotia is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $113.24B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BNS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How BNS ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $113.24B | 1/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.88x | 32/59 |
| EPS | $7.71 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $38.36 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 16.6% | 4/52 |
| ROA | 1.0% | 43/49 |
| Net Margin | 22.0% | 50/53 |
| EBT Margin | 29.7% | 51/58 |
| Tax Rate | 25.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 15.84x | 2/59 |
| Financial Leverage | 16.85x | 1/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $21.48B | 1/59 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 12.5% | 33/54 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.04x | 9/52 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 12.5x | 7/55 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $47.43B | 2/57 |
| Net Income | $10.43B | 1/53 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BNS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1236M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 12.9% | 36/52 |
| EPS Growth | 12.7% | 37/57 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6.41B | |
| Total Liabilities | $1.02T |
BNS quarterly financials and insider trading
Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bank Of Nova Scotia (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia | ▼ | $113.24B |
| DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft | ▼ | $61.98B |
| FITB Fifth Third Bancorp | ▶ | $45.68B |
| STT State Street Corp | ▶ | $45.52B |
| BBD Bank Bradesco | ▶ | $41.97B |
| MTB M&T Bank Corp | ▶ | $31.09B |
| NTRS Northern Trust Corp | ▲ | $30.29B |
| CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri | ▲ | $26.69B |
| FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ | ▶ | $23.98B |
| EWBC East West Bancorp Inc | ▼ | $17.38B |
| ALLY Ally Financial Inc. | ▶ | $11.46B |
| BPOP Popular, Inc. | ▼ | $10.13B |
| SSB Southstate Bank Corp | ▼ | $9.90B |
| WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp | ▶ | $9.68B |
| PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc | ▶ | $8.15B |
| WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation | ▶ | $8.11B |
| COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. | ▶ | $8.05B |
| CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ | ▼ | $7.99B |
| UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv | ▶ | $6.36B |
| HWC Hancock Whitney Corp | ▶ | $5.86B |
| HOMB Home Bancshares Inc | ▶ | $5.84B |
| GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $5.71B |
| ASB Associated Banc-Corp | ▶ | $5.47B |
| AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp | ▶ | $5.44B |
| ABCB Ameris Bancorp | ▶ | $5.35B |
| FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc | ▶ | $4.37B |
| SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $4.30B |
| IBOC International Bancshares Corp | ▶ | $4.19B |
| FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ | ▶ | $4.18B |
| UCB United Community Banks Inc | ▶ | $4.11B |
| CATY Cathay General Bancorp | ▶ | $4.00B |
| TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx | ▶ | $3.96B |
| CVBF Cvb Financial Corp | ▶ | $3.85B |
| INDB Independent Bank Corp | ▶ | $3.78B |
| RNST Renasant Corp | ▶ | $3.65B |
| FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc | ▶ | $3.32B |
| MCHB Mechanics Bancorp | ▶ | $3.18B |
| SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida | ▶ | $3.15B |
| FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. | ▶ | $3.04B |
| BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp | ▶ | $2.65B |
| FBK Fb Financial Corp | ▶ | $2.58B |
| CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $2.53B |
| FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ | ▶ | $2.50B |
| BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ | ▶ | $2.43B |
| SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $2.38B |
| BANR Banner Corp | ▶ | $2.30B |
| MBIN Merchants Bancorp | ▶ | $2.24B |
| OFG Ofg Bancorp | ▼ | $2.22B |
| EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp | ▶ | $2.17B |
| HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $2.11B |
| SRCE 1st Source Corp | ▼ | $2.07B |
| GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.88B |
| RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ | ▶ | $1.83B |
| STBA S&T Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $1.72B |
| BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.68B |
| TCBK Trico Bancshares / | ▶ | $1.66B |
| CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.65B |
| QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc | ▶ | $1.62B |
| LOB Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $1.62B |
| OBK Origin Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.59B |
Where BNS sits on the market map
Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) stock news
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Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Bank Of Nova Scotia outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Bank Of Nova Scotia stock predictions?
For BNS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Bank Of Nova Scotia forecasts updated?
Bank Of Nova Scotia forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Bank Of Nova Scotia's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, BNS included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), Bank Bradesco (BBD), M&T Bank Corp (MTB), Northern Trust Corp (NTRS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.