Bumble: A Fair Exit At $6.05, With The Upside Left For Ithaca
Paying off the ~12% term loan frees up about $50M a year for Ithaca. That makes Bumble's tax losses much easier to use than ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
31.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$910M
small-cap · #32 of 60 peers
Summary
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Bumble Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Bumble Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $910M. It ranks number 32 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BMBL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BMBL included.
Follow BMBL freePrice
BMBL price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How BMBL ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $910M | 32/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.76x | 28/41 |
| EPS | $-4.34 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.37 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $5.83 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -100.3% | 26/32 |
| ROA | -42.4% | 32/38 |
| ROIC | -53.2% | 36/41 |
| Gross Margin | 72.8% | 18/45 |
| Operating Margin | -62.6% | 39/45 |
| Net Margin | -58.0% | 35/39 |
| EBT Margin | -66.3% | 41/47 |
| Tax Rate | -5.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62x | 24/53 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.17x | 19/46 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.36x | 16/44 |
| Interest Coverage | -7.6x | 39/49 |
| Working Capital | $107M | 27/52 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $267M | 16/49 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 31.7% | 9/31 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.73x | 17/38 |
| Receivables Turnover | 12.2x | 8/40 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 193.7x | 4/40 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 30 days | 33/40 |
| Payables Period | 4 days | 34/34 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $893M | 22/42 |
| Operating Income | -$559M | 45/47 |
| Net Income | -$518M | 36/38 |
| SG&A Expense | $361M | 21/41 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $243M | 22/44 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BMBL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 153M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $277M | 22.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $154M | 12.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $73M | 6.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $604M | 49.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $168M | 13.8% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
BMBL quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bumble Inc. (Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BMBL Bumble Inc. | ▲ | $910M |
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. | ▶ | $4.12T |
| SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp | ▶ | $1.92T |
| META Meta Platforms, Inc. | ▶ | $1.81T |
| APP Applovin Corp | ▼ | $89.06B |
| NBIS Nebius Group N.V. | ▲ | $41.87B |
| ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. | ▶ | $27.48B |
| FLUT Flutter Entertainment Plc | ▲ | $13.12B |
| PINS Pinterest, Inc. | ▲ | $12.41B |
| TEM Tempus Ai, Inc. | ▲ | $11.68B |
| DOCN Digitalocean Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $11.60B |
| FDS Factset Research Systems Inc | ▶ | $10.73B |
| SNAP Snap Inc | ▲ | $10.37B |
| MTCH Match Group, Inc. | ▶ | $9.86B |
| BZ Kanzhun Ltd | ▶ | $7.51B |
| TTD Trade Desk, Inc. | ▲ | $5.75B |
| GDS Gds Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $4.57B |
| SRAD Sportradar Group Ag | ▶ | $3.56B |
| MGNI Magnite, Inc. | ▶ | $3.35B |
| WIX Wix.Com Ltd. | ▲ | $3.23B |
| PPLI People Inc | ▼ | $2.89B |
| CSQR Csquare, Inc. | ▶ | $2.68B |
| GRND Grindr Inc. | ▲ | $2.45B |
| RUM Rum Group Inc. | ▲ | $2.28B |
| DV Doubleverify Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $2.09B |
| DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. | ▼ | $1.94B |
| WB Weibo Corp | ▼ | $1.59B |
| TRIP Tripadvisor, Inc. | ▶ | $1.09B |
| VNET Vnet Group, Inc. | ▲ | $1.06B |
| HSTM Healthstream Inc | ▶ | $969M |
| NXDR Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $952M |
| TBLA Taboola.Com Ltd. | ▲ | $929M |
| SIFY Sify Technologies Ltd | ▼ | $828M |
| DSP Viant Technology Inc. | ▲ | $789M |
| CEVA Ceva Inc | ▲ | $774M |
| EVER Everquote, Inc. | ▲ | $768M |
| PUBM Pubmatic, Inc. | ▲ | $758M |
| RZLV Rezolve Ai Plc | ▼ | $730M |
| SMWB Similarweb Ltd. | ▲ | $726M |
| RXT Rackspace Technology, Inc. | ▲ | $720M |
| SABR Sabre Corp | ▲ | $678M |
| NEXN Nexxen International Ltd. | ▶ | $499M |
| ZIP Ziprecruiter, Inc. | ▲ | $363M |
| BLND Blend Labs, Inc. | ▲ | $213M |
| SANG Sangoma Technologies Corp | ▲ | $159M |
| HCAT Health Catalyst, Inc. | ▶ | $130M |
| GOAI Eva Live Inc | ▲ | $61M |
| JG Aurora Mobile Ltd | ▲ | $53M |
| PODC Podcastone, Inc. | ▲ | $53M |
| SOGP Sound Group Inc. | ▲ | $44M |
| RMXI Rmx Industries, Inc. | ▼ | $42M |
| TEAD Teads Holding Co. | ▲ | $39M |
| HOLO Microcloud Hologram Inc. | ▼ | $27M |
| IPM Intelligent Protection Management Corp. | ▶ | $23M |
| SST System1, Inc. | ▼ | $18M |
| TRSO Transuite.Org Inc. | ▼ | $14M |
| CDLX Cardlytics, Inc. | ▲ | $12M |
| GITS Global Interactive Technologies, Inc. | ▶ | $6M |
| TWAV Taoweave, Inc. | ▲ | $5M |
| CNET Zw Data Action Technologies Inc. | ▲ | $5M |
Where BMBL sits on the market map
Technology · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
News
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) stock news
Bumble Inc. to Be Acquired by Ithaca Holdings, the Long-Term Holding Company for Enduring Technology Businesses
Bumble Inc. (NASDAQ: BMBL) ("Bumble" or "the Company") today announced that it entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by Ithaca Holdings ("Ithaca") in an all-cash transaction valuing the ...
Bumble Agrees to $1.3 Billion All-Cash Acquisition by Ithaca Holdings at $6.05 Per Share
Bumble Inc. (NASDAQ:BMBL) has agreed to be acquired by Ithaca Holdings in a $1.3 billion transaction, offering shareholders a ...
FAQ
Bumble Inc. (BMBL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Bumble Inc. (BMBL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Bumble Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Bumble Inc. stock predictions?
For BMBL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Bumble Inc. forecasts updated?
Bumble Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Bumble Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, BMBL included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.. The largest are: Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX), Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Applovin Corp (APP), Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.