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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 20.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $6.17B mid-cap · #15 of 60 peers
Summary

Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, TTD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Trade Desk, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.17B. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TTD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

TTD price chart and AI forecast

TTD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TTD ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.17B $972M 15/60
P/E Ratio 15.27x 20.16x 16/22
P/B Ratio 2.40x 2.54x 24/41
EPS $0.86 – –
Book Value/Share $5.48 – –
Revenue/Share $6.36 – –
FCF/Share $1.84 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
ROE 15.8% -4.4% 10/32
ROA 7.1% -1.1% 13/38
ROIC 19.7% -3.5% 8/41
Gross Margin 76.9% 64.8% 14/45
Operating Margin 19.6% -4.3% 9/45
Net Margin 13.6% -0.3% 13/39
EBT Margin 21.5% -4.1% 10/47
Tax Rate 36.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.72x 1.56x 21/53
D/E Ratio 1.24x 0.86x 18/46
Financial Leverage 2.24x 1.74x 17/44
Interest Coverage 5.0x 0.0x 13/49
Working Capital $2.02B $110M 7/52

Cash Flow

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.08B $104M 9/49
Free Cash Flow $863M $95M 8/37
Capital Spending -$219M -$31M 34/37
OCF Growth YoY 16.4% 22.5% 18/31
FCF Growth YoY 14.2% 14.2% 13/25
FCF/Sales 28.9% 11.5% 7/38
CapEx/Sales 7.3% 1.8% 7/38

Operational Efficiency

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.52x 0.68x 26/38
Receivables Turnover 0.9x 7.3x 38/40
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.6x 19.2x 30/40
Days Sales Outstanding 391 days 50 days 3/40
Payables Period 1353 days 51 days 3/34

Income Statement

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.99B $927M 10/42
Operating Income $586M -$3M 7/47
Net Income $407M -$910K 7/38
R&D Expense $542M $112M 7/37
SG&A Expense $2.06B $361M 7/41
Cost of Goods Sold $692M $241M 15/44

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTTDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 470M – –
Net Income Growth -2.5% 56.6% 11/12
EPS Growth 8.9% 18.6% 11/18

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.82B83.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.12B19.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3.20B55.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.19B55.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$231M4.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TTD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trade Desk, Inc. (Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TTD Trade Desk, Inc. ▶ $6.17B 15.3x 2.4x
GOOG Alphabet Inc. ▶ $4.12T 16.9x 6.4x
SPCX Space Exploration Technologies Corp ▶ $1.96T – 15.4x
META Meta Platforms, Inc. ▶ $1.88T 27.8x 7.2x
APP Applovin Corp ▼ $89.06B 20.5x 28.2x
NBIS Nebius Group N.V. ▲ $47.67B – –
ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. ▶ $28.74B 8.5x 2.5x
FLUT Flutter Entertainment Plc ▲ $13.12B – –
PINS Pinterest, Inc. ▲ $12.86B 48.3x –
TEM Tempus Ai, Inc. ▲ $12.83B – 28.9x
DOCN Digitalocean Holdings, Inc. ▲ $11.60B 40.8x 12.5x
SNAP Snap Inc ▲ $10.89B – 5.7x
FDS Factset Research Systems Inc ▶ $10.73B 19.9x 5.3x
MTCH Match Group, Inc. ▶ $10.12B 17.0x –
BZ Kanzhun Ltd ▶ $7.51B – 4.3x
GDS Gds Holdings Ltd ▲ $4.57B – 5.9x
SRAD Sportradar Group Ag ▶ $3.63B – –
MGNI Magnite, Inc. ▶ $3.51B 24.5x 3.8x
WIX Wix.Com Ltd. ▶ $3.48B – –
PPLI People Inc ▼ $2.99B 8.9x 0.6x
CSQR Csquare, Inc. ▶ $2.68B – –
RUM Rum Group Inc. ▲ $2.46B – 1.8x
GRND Grindr Inc. ▲ $2.45B 31.3x –
DV Doubleverify Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2.09B 40.9x 1.9x
DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. ▼ $1.94B – 1.9x
WB Weibo Corp ▼ $1.61B – 0.5x
VNET Vnet Group, Inc. ▲ $1.19B – 11.0x
TRIP Tripadvisor, Inc. ▶ $1.10B 42.7x 1.7x
NXDR Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.01B – 2.5x
HSTM Healthstream Inc ▶ $987M 51.1x 2.8x
TBLA Taboola.Com Ltd. ▶ $956M 9.3x 1.0x
BMBL Bumble Inc. ▲ $910M – 1.8x
SIFY Sify Technologies Ltd ▼ $851M 201.5x –
PUBM Pubmatic, Inc. ▲ $812M – 3.4x
RXT Rackspace Technology, Inc. ▲ $812M – –
DSP Viant Technology Inc. ▲ $789M 40.8x 7.0x
RZLV Rezolve Ai Plc ▼ $775M – 3.1x
CEVA Ceva Inc ▲ $774M – 2.3x
EVER Everquote, Inc. ▲ $768M 6.9x 3.0x
SMWB Similarweb Ltd. ▲ $764M – 32.8x
SABR Sabre Corp ▲ $722M – –
NEXN Nexxen International Ltd. ▶ $508M 9.8x –
ZIP Ziprecruiter, Inc. ▲ $399M 18.7x –
BLND Blend Labs, Inc. ▲ $213M – –
SANG Sangoma Technologies Corp ▲ $159M – –
HCAT Health Catalyst, Inc. ▶ $130M – 1.3x
GOAI Eva Live Inc ▲ $66M 12.9x –
PODC Podcastone, Inc. ▲ $60M – 2.5x
SOGP Sound Group Inc. ▶ $48M – –
JG Aurora Mobile Ltd ▲ $48M – 5.1x
RMXI Rmx Industries, Inc. ▼ $42M – 1.4x
TEAD Teads Holding Co. ▲ $41M – 5.6x
HOLO Microcloud Hologram Inc. ▼ $27M – 0.1x
IPM Intelligent Protection Management Corp. ▶ $23M – 1.4x
SST System1, Inc. ▼ $19M – 0.2x
TRSO Transuite.Org Inc. ▼ $14M – –
CDLX Cardlytics, Inc. ▲ $12M – –
GITS Global Interactive Technologies, Inc. ▶ $6M – 1.5x
TWAV Taoweave, Inc. ▲ $6M – 1.0x
CNET Zw Data Action Technologies Inc. ▲ $5M – 1.2x

Where TTD sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.
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News

Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) stock news

source: Seeking Alpha

36 Wall Street analysts have issued ratings. Currently, 5 analysts rated TTD as Bullish, 8 rated it Bearish, and 23 rated it Neutral for a Wall Street consensus of hold. View TTD’s ratings here. 12 ...

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FAQ

Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, TTD is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Trade Desk, Inc. stock predictions?

For TTD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Trade Desk, Inc. forecasts updated?

Trade Desk, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Trade Desk, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TTD included, share the SEC industry code Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.. The largest are: Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SPCX), Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Applovin Corp (APP), Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.