Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.85B.
It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Real Estate Investment Trusts issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
Its Net Margin of 565.4% is the highest of the 49 peers that report one. Its Dividend Yield of 17.16% is the highest of the 54 peers that report one.
For BXMT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does.
Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BXMT included.
Price
BXMT price chart and AI forecast
BXMT
Cross-section · 2026-11-06
How BXMT ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Real Estate Investment Trusts peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
Market Cap
$1.85B
$11.72B
60/60
P/B Ratio
0.65x
2.20x
55/57
Dividend Yield
17.16%
4.22%
1/54
EPS
$-1.68
–
–
Book Value/Share
$17.10
–
–
Revenue/Share
$-0.40
–
–
Profitability & Margins
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
ROE
-13.2%
7.5%
49/50
ROA
-2.1%
3.6%
48/51
Net Margin
565.4%
28.9%
1/49
EBT Margin
558.2%
29.9%
1/45
Tax Rate
-1.5%
–
–
Financial Health
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
D/E Ratio
5.15x
1.13x
6/57
Financial Leverage
6.15x
2.15x
6/56
Cash Flow
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
Operating Cash Flow
$353M
$856M
57/60
OCF Growth YoY
57.4%
7.2%
2/59
Operational Efficiency
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
Asset Turnover
0.00x
0.14x
55/55
Income Statement
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
Total Revenue
-$66M
$2.02B
56/56
Net Income
-$375M
$414M
48/51
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Metric
BXMT
Industry median
Rank
Dividends Per Share
$1.91
–
–
Shares Outstanding
166M
–
–
Net Income Growth
-449.8%
16.3%
47/47
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
Cash & Short-term Investments
$512M
2.9% of assets
Total Liabilities
$14.62B
83.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports
BXMT quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Real Estate Investment Trusts
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (Real Estate Investment Trusts): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. Declares Dividend on Class A Common Stock for the Fourth Quarter of 2026, Payable on January 15, 2027 CI Oct. 29 Blackstone Mortgage Trust Shares Rise After Q3 Results ...
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. is a real estate finance company that originates, acquires and manages senior loans and other debt or credit-oriented investments collateralized by ...
Good day, and welcome to the Blackstone Mortgage Trust's Second Quarter 2026 Investor Call. Today's call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Tim ...
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Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. (BXMT) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. stock predictions?
For BXMT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. forecasts updated?
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.'s industry peers?
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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