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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 31.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $34.83B large-cap · #3 of 18 peers
Summary

Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Carnival Corp Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Carnival Corp Ltd. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $34.83B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 18 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CCL included.

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Price

CCL price chart and AI forecast

CCL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CCL ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-31

Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $34.83B $2.49B 3/18
P/E Ratio 12.39x 16.50x 7/10
P/B Ratio 1.51x 2.11x 9/13
EPS $2.09 – –
Book Value/Share $17.13 – –
Revenue/Share $20.52 – –
FCF/Share $2.36 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 42.5% 42.5% 4/7
Tax Rate 1.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.27x 0.79x 13/16
Quick Ratio 0.23x 0.75x 11/13
D/E Ratio 0.63x 0.88x 13/15
Interest Coverage 0.6x 2.5x 12/16
Working Capital -$9.05B -$37M 15/16

Cash Flow

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6.82B $492M 2/14
Free Cash Flow $3.18B -$140M 1/5
Capital Spending -$3.65B -$3.65B 3/5
OCF Growth YoY 21.6% 13.7% 3/10
FCF Growth YoY 9.0% – –
FCF/Sales 11.5% -0.3% 2/5
CapEx/Sales 13.2% 23.8% 4/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 41.2x 23.5x 3/8
Inventory Turnover 30.1x 35.9x 5/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.6x 0.6x 3/6
Days Sales Outstanding 9 days 23 days 6/8
Days Inventory 12 days 10 days 2/6
Payables Period 27 days 17 days 3/7
Cash Conversion Cycle -6 days -6 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $27.59B $10.72B 2/8
Operating Income $4.41B $371M 3/15
SG&A Expense $3.58B $1.64B 1/7
Cost of Goods Sold $15.87B $7.26B 2/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCCLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1345M – –
EPS Growth 38.4% 2.5% 2/9

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$3.42B9.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.22B3.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$670M1.8% of assets
Inventory$528M1.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$14.46B38.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$11.32B30.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CCL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Water Transportation

Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Carnival Corp Ltd. (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CCL Carnival Corp Ltd. ▼ $34.83B 12.4x 1.5x
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd ▼ $74.27B 17.2x 7.3x
VIK Viking Holdings Ltd ▼ $37.01B 18.7x –
BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. ▶ $17.29B 46.2x –
KEX Kirby Corp ▶ $7.20B 21.0x 2.1x
MATX Matson, Inc. ▼ $7.03B 15.9x 2.5x
NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ▼ $6.91B 11.3x 2.7x
GLNG Golar Lng Ltd ▶ $4.58B 26.8x 2.4x
TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. ▶ $3.35B 9.0x 1.6x
NAT Nordic American Tankers Ltd ▲ $1.62B – 2.5x
FLNG Flex Lng Ltd. ▶ $1.53B 7.6x 2.2x
CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Ltd ▲ $475M – 0.7x
KNOP Knot Offshore Partners Lp ▶ $336M – –
EDRY Eurodry Ltd. ▲ $131M – 1.2x
DLNG Dynagas Lng Partners Lp ▶ $121M – 0.3x
OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc ▶ $38M – –
USEA United Maritime Corp ▲ $24M – 0.5x
RUBI Rubico Inc. ▼ $290K – –

Where CCL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Water Transportation
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News

Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) stock news

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FAQ

Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Carnival Corp Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Carnival Corp Ltd. stock predictions?

For CCL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Carnival Corp Ltd. forecasts updated?

Carnival Corp Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Carnival Corp Ltd.'s industry peers?

18 issuers in our coverage, CCL included, share the SEC industry code Water Transportation. The largest are: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL), Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK), Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP), Kirby Corp (KEX), Matson, Inc. (MATX), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.