Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $8.16B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 18 Water Transportation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 6.63x is the highest of the 15 peers that report one.
For NCLH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NCLH included.
NCLH price chart and AI forecast
How NCLH ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Water Transportation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $8.16B | 5/18 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.72x | 6/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.59x | 2/13 |
| EPS | $1.13 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.86 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $22.13 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.23 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 7.7% | 9/11 |
| Gross Margin | 41.4% | 5/7 |
| Operating Margin | 13.8% | 9/12 |
| EBT Margin | 8.1% | 10/12 |
| Tax Rate | -1.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.22x | 14/16 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.19x | 12/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 6.63x | 1/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.63x | 2/14 |
| Interest Coverage | 152.2x | 1/16 |
| Working Capital | -$4.46B | 14/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.17B | 5/14 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$564M | 5/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$2.73B | 2/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 6.7% | 7/10 |
| FCF/Sales | -5.5% | 5/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 26.9% | 2/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.42x | 5/6 |
| Receivables Turnover | 42.1x | 3/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 31.7x | 4/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.5x | 5/6 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 9 days | 6/8 |
| Days Inventory | 12 days | 3/6 |
| Payables Period | 11 days | 7/7 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 9 days | 1/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $10.16B | 5/8 |
| Operating Income | $1.41B | 5/15 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.63B | 4/7 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $5.96B | 6/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NCLH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 459M | – |
| EPS Growth | -37.2% | 8/9 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.29B | 5.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $257M | 1.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $241M | 1.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $188M | 0.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $20.86B | 86.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $5.57B | 23.2% of assets |
NCLH quarterly financials and insider trading
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (Water Transportation): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | $8.16B | |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd | $87.51B | |
| CCL Carnival Corp Ltd. | $39.77B | |
| VIK Viking Holdings Ltd | $38.81B | |
| BIP Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. | $18.21B | |
| KEX Kirby Corp | $6.39B | |
| MATX Matson, Inc. | $6.34B | |
| GLNG Golar Lng Ltd | $4.36B | |
| TNK Teekay Tankers Ltd. | $2.97B | |
| NAT Nordic American Tankers Ltd | $1.41B | |
| FLNG Flex Lng Ltd. | $1.41B | |
| CMDB Costamare Bulkers Holdings Ltd | $432M | |
| KNOP Knot Offshore Partners Lp | $287M | |
| DLNG Dynagas Lng Partners Lp | $111M | |
| EDRY Eurodry Ltd. | $102M | |
| OMEX Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc | $26M | |
| USEA United Maritime Corp | $23M | |
| RUBI Rubico Inc. | $60K |
Where NCLH sits on the market map
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock news
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Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. stock predictions?
For NCLH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. forecasts updated?
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, NCLH included, share the SEC industry code Water Transportation. The largest are: Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL), Carnival Corp Ltd. (CCL), Viking Holdings Ltd (VIK), Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (BIP), Kirby Corp (KEX), Matson, Inc. (MATX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.